Guess it’s solved!
Pay no attention to the drying rivers, emptying reservoirs, and depleting aquifers. If cities are more efficient per capita than people commonly believe, we can probably just grow our cities arbitrarily and our cotton farms and golf courses even more so.
It sure does. Nature created us. We build desalination plants and pipelines. Humans are amazing.
There's no reason Arizona can't work with California to fund a bunch of desalination plants along the coast near San Diego (which already has relevant expertise at it). It's something like 120 miles from the ocean to Arizona's border, a quite solvable problem if an arrangement can be made with California.
Alternatively the Gulf of California is 50 miles away. Arizona can do a deal with Mexico. Mexico would agree to that instantly. See:
May 2021 "ACCIONA will build and operate a desalination plant in the municipality of Los Cabos, in Baja California (Mexico). The project has an overall budget of €134.5 million."
https://www.acciona.com/updates/news/acciona-build-operate-c...
The US southwest is entering its first ever Tier 1 water shortage next year, meaning Arizona will have reduced supply equivalent to 1.2MM people’s annual consumption. No reason to believe we don’t go straight from here to Tier 2, onto Tier 3, and so on. Nature doesn’t provide enough water in a desert to be running sprawling metropolises and even more massive farms and graze land - especially water-intensive cotton farms.
https://www.nature.org/en-us/newsroom/drought-water-shortage...
> Already, water levels in Lake Powell and Lake Mead, the two major reservoirs that store the Colorado River’s water, are down to 34% of their capacity and may soon drop too low to spin the hydroelectric turbines in their dams. Some smaller reservoirs began emergency releases in summer 2021 to prop up water levels in these lakes.
https://westernresourceadvocates.org/projects/arizona-colora...
> The Tier 1 shortage will reduce water to the Central Arizona Project by 320,000 acre-feet (enough water to supply 1.2 million individuals for a year).
Maybe Arizona is losing this battle as gracefully as anyone could, but they are very much losing this battle.