There are calculators out there for comparing rent vs. buy options in various metro areas. That's one mistake Bruenig made, what's true for his area might not necessarily be true in a different city
So a very valid strategy is to rent, and take that delta and put it in an index fund. This won’t outperform a mortgage in a very hot market, but you will still likely be able to live “rent free” after 30 years of this strategy with a 4% drawdown on just that account.
The main argument I like for home ownership is that it really helps force this savings, since many have a hard time not spending money on frivolous things.
That said, I finally bought the house I was renting 6 years ago. Mostly it was a hedge against raising rents. My area was seeing 10%+ yearly rent increases. So far it turned out to be a smart play, but interest rates could have gone up a couple points, and I might uave been underwater for several years.
There's a whole slew of intangibles that come with "owning" your home that I think have made my quality of life significantly better (and certainly worth every penny): being able to make whatever changes I want, knowing that what I do to the property could outlive me (in the sense of taking care of the planet), and having a sense of accomplishment when I fix or upgrade odds and ends.
Of course, that part of the analysis ignores the potential capital gain of the property value, which is often one of the appealing financial factors of homeownership. But the article also addresses that.
Sure, I can (and do) rent an apartment for less than a house, but that means rent increases whenever the owner feels like it - my rent has been steadily increasing to the tune of about 5%/yr, and this year it was all the way up to a 7% increase.
I don't know how realistic that is across many different areas, but it's certainly not possible in many locations.
I was under the impression that in most cases, the principal payments aren't on top of those costs. At least not all of it.
However, you're missing the point. People MUST live somewhere.
Their only alternative investment is with regard to their down payment for money saved, or the amount of money that is (mortgage - equivalent rent), which is usually negative!
The BULK (or entirety) of the money they spend on their mortgage is not money that would otherwise be available for alternative investment.
You're right that the bulk of the mortgage payments, especially towards the beginning, do not go towards building any capital, which makes the investment even less appealing.
All the cost calculations should be based off interest only. The principle repayment is a cashflow issue - and a signifcant one at that.
> So, the financial case for homeownership is much weaker than I think most realize, especially when compared to alternative ways of investing the same money.
> So these principal payments are generating a net return of 1.795 percent (2.295 – 0.5). These same dollars, if placed in a diversified stock/bond portfolio, would generate a much higher return than that.
The problem with this angle is that people in general have to have housing, and so they're going to pay a substantial part of their income either on rent on on a mortgage. There's rarely an option to invest "the same money" in anything else.
Overall this seems like a solid analysis, but the contrast with "what else you could do with the money" seems a little weird when that's not really a choice (unless you live somewhere with a huge difference between the cost of renting vs owning).