Same here. None of the data feels quite transparent. There seems to be a major taboo around supposing that beyond the R0 value which tends to overwhelm local hospitals during outbreaks, covid is actually not a serious concern for the vast, vast majority of <50, not obese/overweight people.

And I recently discovered that the reporting of overwhelmed hospitals is somewhat misleading as well, as in the US hospitals typically operate at 80-90% capacity for financial reasons, especially ICU wings which are expensive to upkeep on standby. So when the news reports that hospitals $CITY are overwhelmed, that's can be as little as ≈10% increase in patients.

If anything good comes of covid, hopefully we can see some effort to improve surge capacity in the US, but I'm not holding my breath.