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Re:Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets by PragmaticPulp on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @10:21AM (#28539369)
Prediction markets are literally markets.

You can’t have a market if the price is secret.

The goal isn’t to have people place bets and see who is right later. The goal is to expose the predictions to market forces and make people put their money on the line, thereby (theoretically) improving the quality of predictions.

Re:Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets by polskibus on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @11:00AM (#28539995)
Yes you can have market with secret price. Check out dark pools.
Re:Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets by rcxdude on Wednesday September 15, 2021 @11:19AM (#28540250)
Dark pool prices aren't available to the general public, but they are visible to those participating in the market.