I don’t have the data to argue either way.
Imagine someone would do this to bike lanes, railroads, or optical fiber. The facts that gasoline cars are a problem for the climate and that cars take up too much space to be generally available in dense cities have nothing to do with roads per se.
But I agree that taxes should be damage-based. Tax those lorries to hell, if they want lower taxes, they should buy one with more axles and more tires per axle.
Consumers can also be made whole by removing vehicle taxes on cars or subsidizing other modes of transport that consumers use from those trucking price increases.
That's not true. But the truth is even worse than that. The effect is highly non-linear. Depending on type, composition, age and temperature, the road material require minimum load to become plastic. Below that critical load the surface can withstand wear and tear of practically infinite amount of trips (have you ever seen a road where the surface was rubbed away by passing cars?)
Of course, some aging processes continue regardless of whether cars are or are not using roads.
But do you take into account how much road use is consumed, and what type of roads, and where they are?
We can debate which we'd rather pay but one way or another the cost would come down to us.
The Grenadier Guard?
This isn't so much unfair, but it does remove incentives for the shippers to cause less damage to the roads.
Would also add there is an miles travelled does not equate to time on the road (highway vs local driving) and state funding has biases as well (highway vs local roads, urban vs rural infrastructure)
The "fair share" most small cars - especially fuel efficiency focused designs that remove as much mass as possible - should be paying approximately $0. Road damage per-axel is proportional to the weight carried by the axel raised to the fourth power! A fully loaded 5 axel tractor trailer does thousands of times more damage than one of the small electric cars they are worried about taxing.
The "fair" solution where maintenance costs are paid in proportion to the actual sources of damage would be to ignore most carts entirely and raising the registration fees on the vehicle actually damaging the roads the heavy trucks. As vehicle weight grows, their responsibility for maintenance costs exponentially.