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Re:NYC major crime complaints fell when cops took a break fr... by temp8964 on Monday August 30, 2021 @05:39PM (#28361178)
The title suggests a causation on this 4.5% change?

Paywalled, I didn’t read the article.

Re:NYC major crime complaints fell when cops took a break fr... by nanis on Monday August 30, 2021 @05:44PM (#28361234)
> “While we cannot entirely rule out the effects of under-reporting,” the authors wrote, “our results show that crime complaints decreased, rather than increased, during a slowdown in proactive policing, contrary to deterrence theory.”

Original research is here: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-017-0211-5

Both authors are political scientists who are highly unlikely to have a command of econometrics. I am not sure if they took into account the panel nature of the data and in those circumstances where authors focus solely on either the cross-section or the time-series nature of the process, it is not uncommon for "results" to be nonsense.

Re:NYC major crime complaints fell when cops took a break fr... by kevingadd on Monday August 30, 2021 @05:43PM (#28361229)
The article does say the study attempted to control for those variables, yeah.