Any idea why India is reporting success in the real world that isn't predicted by available studies? E.g. could someone design a study in Uttar Pradesh, with their huge population, to dig deeper into conflicts between the studies available for Lowe's analysis, and the claimed success in UP? There are states in India not using Ivermectin, which could be compared with the effects of UP's official state policy of making Ivermectin widely available to their population.

When experiments don't match our predictions, there is often either an error in the experiment, or an opportunity to improve the models behind the prediction. In this case, one of the experiments (UP with 200 million people) apparently has an unexpectedly good, positive, cheap outcome with minimal supply chain dependencies or safety risks.

If the observations are incorrect, that should be easy to establish.

If we are unable to explain this observed, positive, practical outcome via existing theory, that would be scientifically exciting!