Visualizing observed deaths using polar coordinates

Re:Visualizing observed deaths using polar coordinates by sleavey on Friday August 27, 2021 @07:54AM (#28326653)

Even comparing excess deaths can be misleading, because you're comparing deaths during lockdown to deaths in previous years not in lockdown. In other words, you're not isolating a single variable (SARS-CoV-2 pandemic vs no pandemic) but rather multiple (pandemic plus non pharmaceutical interventions vs no pandemic).

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Re:Visualizing observed deaths using polar coordinates by roenxi on Friday August 27, 2021 @09:29AM (#28327554)

We can sanity check the number fairly easily. COVID has a case fatality rate of ~0.5%, so if everyone in the US had caught the coronavirus there would be around 150k excess deaths. Probably multiply that by a 80% fudge factor to at least acknowledge that some of people who die of COVID were probably frail to start with and likely to get taken out by normal disease and aging.

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Re:Visualizing observed deaths using polar coordinates by doctor_eval on Friday August 27, 2021 @09:33AM (#28327597)

0.5% of 300,000,000 is 1.5 million dead.

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