I think he makes a very important point about the role of the state. These hardcore engineering innovations and definitely cool and are interesting problems to work on, but I don't think the economics of it work out for startup companies given the amount of R&D it requires and probably lack of clear path of monetization. It reminds me of a fact I recently saw, the largest patent holder in China isn't Huawei or Tencent or any of the large tech companies, its the State National Grid or something like that, a state entity.
That being said, I don't think its necessarily good or bad, its just the way the ecosystem works. Even with the hard engineering innovations, in my opinion oftentimes the application/monetization of it into the form of a working product is still non-trivial, and that's the value captured by startups, so both are necessary in my view
Are you not referring to the “market” ecosystem?
You are flipping my lid, because in the earlier paragraph I read your comment about the largest patent holder in China being the state.
Is the conclusion not: the government of China funds R&D for those projects which the market is not an effective driver, but the project is determined to be important to the government (ideally, ‘the people’)
That sounds like what government is nominally intended to do. If that’s not the case in the US, and our best and brightest are maximizing hamburger delivery apps—-hot, fresh, cheap and profitable for all—-is this not a patently bad thing?
Unfortunately winner-takes-all seems to be the dominant Internet business model, whether that's due to nefarious monopolistic actions on the part of the big players or just the natural course given the underlying technology and economics.
Peloton hasn't really solved any social problem. The bike works just as well for burning calories as any other, what they managed to accomplish is sell people licenses for something they used to own at twice the price with a subscription on top and make them feel good about themselves instead of feeling like they're being robbed. That's the real innovation.
Uber hasn't solved any material transportation problem either. We're not suddenly able to 10x our urban transport capacity because of it. Probably the opposite, if anything it's induced congestion and draws resources from the modes of transport that actually solve those problems. The innovation here is that it's managed to do this while pretending not to be an employer.
I wholeheartedly agree the system wasn't great in many cities before Uber, but it's just a sleek version of what was obvious at the time--it just hadn't been built and the incentives weren't there.
I think you can look at bus/train systems as a comparison. In many cities you can download their app, set a destination, and it shows you what tickets you need to buy. You wave your phone to prove you bought your ticket. In many cities you can see the actual buses live on a map. Many bus stops show when the next bus arrives live. Uber was founded in 2009 and iPhone released in 2007. Google Maps was released in 2005, added traffic info in 2007, and Google Maps shipped with the first iPhone. It wasn't hard to see these pieces coming together--it just needed a lot of work, coordination, and a few generations of hardware and software improvements.
I do think they were the first and were innovative in a lot of aspects. I think their impact on the business of taxiing is way more "innovative" than the app and tech--but innovative doesn't necessarily mean "good" or a great use of resources.
As I said, if you had to regularly use cabs prior to ±2009, they were a nightmare. Uber is a massive improvement.
sadly uber has declined quite a bit since- but it was a good kick in the butt to the taxi industries to step up their game.
Or in San Francisco, the cab would ask you where you are going. And if you said Inner Sunset, not even Outer Sunset, they would just leave.
In NYC though, you just walk out of your building, stick your hand out, and the cab would be there.
It is 1000% better in most places.
I've travelled in Europe and had good service just googling the number of a local taxi firm, and speaking to them.
I used Uber once, and they decided not to take my fare; they never showed up.
Anecdotally, I have taken a trip from London to Heathrow airport 2 times, one time with a taxi cab and the other time with Uber. Uber cost two times less, and the service was on the same level or better.
This ironically shows how size matters a lot. Be it state investment or huge VC, more cash, more power and more centralization means better service (if the megamoney was spent well).
I agree that Uber's way of underpaying drivers is not scalable (basic mathematics) and price hikes should happen to make the numbers work out. However the service level now people expect is very much innovative.
What "real reason" is there for anything to "exist" and what do those terms mean? There's no real reason for corn in a can to exist, you have corn on the cob!
It's a subsidy whenever any product was developed based on parts of a project the people in a state created, because the state was paying them. Well, then I guess I exist because of state subsidies. The state reimburses and sets standards for medical procedures and I had open heart surgery at 2. Hell, is Steve Jobs' Apple the result of state subsidy because he formed a company that's state sponsored, when he should have struck out on his own to be a fingerpaint artist from his own materials and talent?
These arguments feel like ridiculously cherry picked characterizations that have no weight and contribute nothing.
Anything you do can be done better when multiple people can collaborate on it and get accurate instrumentation about it. And anything can be done cheaper when it can be automated, and that's what apps provide too.
There isn't much money in such in the 'hard engineering innovation' domains you mention.
However, anybody looking at things like Space industry or the battery industry and claims that there are no start ups is crazy. There are large numbers of start ups some that get 100s of millions or billions of investment to solve complex problems.
The amount of new space launchers is frankly absurd. There are not to few, but to objectively to many startups trying to do the same thing.
"Narrow" given there is a vast global economy in need of hard engineering innovations - agriculture, mining, construction, energy, chemicals, biotech, manufacturing, machinery, vehicles, aerospace, science/discovery, environment/planet, telecomm, computer hardware, robotics. On the other hand apps, marketplaces, SaaS, AI, blockchain, RPA, most of the world doesn't really care about it and perhaps they shouldn't...