Re:Jabs mostly fend off the Delta strain but breakthroughs a...
by shapefrog on Monday August 23, 2021 @08:38AM
(#28274846)
Against 62.9% of 'entire' population vaccinated. ~80% of over 60's.
Depends what part of the population is being hospitalised, but not the 'best numbers'.
Re:Jabs mostly fend off the Delta strain but breakthroughs a...
by tynpeddler on Monday August 23, 2021 @12:36PM
(#28278462)
That number does not mean what people think it does and is being bandied around as a result of extreme statistics illiteracy:
https://www.covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-data-how-can-...
Also, what is the world is going on in that preprint[0]? I can not follow their conclusions in Table 1 model 1.
Looking at Table 1 - Model 1, it looks like the 40+, early vaccinated cohort has only a 15%-30% chance of being infected as compared to the 40+, late vaccinated cohort.
The paper itself says they did some adjustments for co-morbidities, but has no description of what they did. So it looks like the paper's conclusion is directly the opposite of what's being shown in the Table 1 - Model 1.
[0]https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.29.21261317v...
According to <https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/08/grim-warning-israel-...> in Israel last week around 60% of critical cases are fully vaccinated.