Re:The mutation that helps Delta spread
by hutzlibu on Saturday August 21, 2021 @03:27AM
(#28254996)
I think both of you would benefit from a less "engaged" discussion mode, more focused on the data.
Not which one of you is right or wrong, but rather what data and conclusions are right or wrong.
Because otherwise I benefited very much from your discussion. Thank you both.
If we adjust for my mistake and make 426 the denominator, the odds go up to 3.5%. If we take into account that at least half of cases go unreported, the odds drop to 1.75% or lower. If we take into account that 25% or more ICU COVID cases aren't really COVID-related, (hard to find data on that but it was what was reported that way for Florida last week), the odds go down to 1.3%.
I apparently read well enough to instantly spot that 10% ICU conversion of infected unvaccinated is a bogus number. And my Israel data mistake didn't affect my conclusions at all. Maybe you should work on your reading?