The mutation that helps Delta spread

Re:The mutation that helps Delta spread by cmrdporcupine on Friday August 20, 2021 @05:52PM (#28251830)

Not sure which spreadsheet you're talking about, the page I linked to has a series of feeds, and if you download today's CSV and sum all 4 case count columns it adds up to 650. 426 is the unvaccinated count. 650 is the count of all cases.

  Date covid19_cases_unvac covid19_cases_partial_vac covid19_cases_full_vac covid19_cases_vac_unknown
  2021-08-20 426 64 103 57

BTW, it's not "my page"; it's the official gov't of Ontario COVID data API. It's where the other link you pasted gets its data. There's another feed that provides just testing numbers, but doesn't break down by vaccination status. It also reports yesterday as 650. So the two accord.

But please, go on. "Your biggest problem" is that you don't read. Just like the 90% in Israel stuff.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:The mutation that helps Delta spread by sreque on Friday August 20, 2021 @08:06PM (#28252787)

You're right. We both made an analytical mistake, although yours was much bigger. If that means I don't read, then you must not read well either. Congrats on devolving to personal insults about my character though. I guess that means you ran out of data-based arguments.

If we adjust for my mistake and make 426 the denominator, the odds go up to 3.5%. If we take into account that at least half of cases go unreported, the odds drop to 1.75% or lower. If we take into account that 25% or more ICU COVID cases aren't really COVID-related, (hard to find data on that but it was what was reported that way for Florida last week), the odds go down to 1.3%.

I apparently read well enough to instantly spot that 10% ICU conversion of infected unvaccinated is a bogus number. And my Israel data mistake didn't affect my conclusions at all. Maybe you should work on your reading?

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Re:The mutation that helps Delta spread by hutzlibu on Saturday August 21, 2021 @03:27AM (#28254996)

I think both of you would benefit from a less "engaged" discussion mode, more focused on the data.

Not which one of you is right or wrong, but rather what data and conclusions are right or wrong.

Because otherwise I benefited very much from your discussion. Thank you both.

[ Parent | on HN ]