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Re:The world must cooperate to avoid colliding satellites an... by Retric on Thursday August 19, 2021 @10:09AM (#28234017)
Kessler syndrome is still limited to a range of orbits. Very low earth orbit everything simply de orbits so fast it’s not a significant issue.

Geosynchronous orbit is quite packed, but everything is moving in the same direction which prevents the kind of exponential cascade that’s so concerning. Above geosynchronous orbit’s graveyard stays clear simply because little has the energy to reach that altitude.

Re:The world must cooperate to avoid colliding satellites an... by retrac on Thursday August 19, 2021 @02:03PM (#28237158)
Yes, it's my understanding that, in practice, Kessler syndrome would most probably mean no geosynchronous satellites. It's slightly reassuring that that isn't as horrifying a proposition as it was thirty years ago. Recent advances would allow things like geonavigation and telecommunications to be supported with Starlink-style low orbit networks, even in that event.

Regarding simply transiting through our ex-satellite rings, I don't think there is consensus. Would it make launches beyond LEO practically impossible, or just theoretically risky in the way that blindly navigating the asteroid belt is? (You could hit something, but it's so little matter dispersed over so much space it'll probably just be extremely fine dust the shielding can handle. Probably.)

Re:The world must cooperate to avoid colliding satellites an... by tgsovlerkhgsel on Thursday August 19, 2021 @06:10PM (#28239987)
GEO is only above the equator, i.e. launches beyond it shouldn't be seriously affected if there was a debris belt, unless it reaches a significant density beyond a narrow belt.
Re:The world must cooperate to avoid colliding satellites an... by mLuby on Thursday August 19, 2021 @12:48PM (#28236156)
To some degree that's true, though collisions will likely create cones of debris that extend significantly above and below the initial orbits, and those shards could smash satellites in those higher or lower orbits, thus continuing the chain reaction.

For example: two satellites collide head-on at an altitude of 300km, creating two debris clouds that extend from 250km to 350km. Each of those catches another satellite, one at 260km and another at 320km, which fragment into debris clouds reaching from 200km to 370km (all numbers made up).

Higher orbits, like geosynchronous, have a lot more space to work with and much slower relative velocities than low Earth orbits.

Re:The world must cooperate to avoid colliding satellites an... by Retric on Thursday August 19, 2021 @01:35PM (#28236800)
That debris cloud is an abstraction, actual post collision orbits of individual objects are what matters.

At 300km satellites experience significant drag and need regular boosts to maintain orbit. After collision individual objects orbit will almost always include it’s altitude at the point of impact and generally expends above and below that point. So while yes the cloud extends to higher orbit, everything would deorbit from your example extremely quickly.