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Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by cinntaile on Thursday August 05, 2021 @04:24PM (#28079233)
Just watch The Day After Tomorrow to know what happens.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by jacquesm on Thursday August 05, 2021 @04:35PM (#28079374)
No, that is heavily sensationalized. But a new 'small ice age' as a result of the gulfstream shutting down is a serious possibility, even if it changed direction that would already cause serious problems for very large parts of Europe.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by fosk on Thursday August 05, 2021 @04:51PM (#28079611)
Although the benefit would be increased reflection of sunlight due to more icy (reflective) surface which would alleviate (or reverse?) the current weather warming trend.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by geocrasher on Thursday August 05, 2021 @04:52PM (#28079629)
Sensationalized? Sure. Hollywood. But incorrect? It's hard to know.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by jacquesm on Thursday August 05, 2021 @05:14PM (#28079948)
The basic premise is faulty, a chance in the ocean currents would not immediately cause massive climate change, it would take a couple of centuries but would be pretty much inevitable. It likely would also accelerate other processes already in motion, so more extreme weather would be a pretty safe bet but not to the degree depicted in the movie.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by jbay808 on Thursday August 05, 2021 @05:39PM (#28080282)
Well, they forgot to account for adiabatic heating of that cold air getting pulled out of the upper atmosphere, which would have made it quite hot when it hit the ground. If I recall, that cold air was the central threat in the movie.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by rjldev on Friday August 06, 2021 @08:04AM (#28085968)
We actually ran the numbers on that as an exercise during my undergrad degree (meteorology), iirc it would end up the same as the surface air temperature
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by cinntaile on Thursday August 05, 2021 @08:18PM (#28081746)
I guess the joke flew over your head :P
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by jacquesm on Friday August 06, 2021 @02:45AM (#28084023)
I guess you're on the wrong website.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by cinntaile on Friday August 06, 2021 @06:02AM (#28085146)
No worries, I don't usually joke much on HN. Sometimes jokes work here, maybe climate change is a bit too polarized.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by jacquesm on Friday August 06, 2021 @10:45AM (#28087858)
Or maybe it is just a bit too serious.
Re:Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of... by Shorel on Friday August 06, 2021 @09:54AM (#28087199)
Films like that, showing immediate and extreme change over a couple of hours instead of the gradual over-decades change that is more likely to happen, are part of the problem.

People remember the film, and see nothing similar happening, and claim nothing is actually happening. All this while the change is going steady.