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Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by 3pt14159 on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @10:02AM (#28049295)
One core issue is housing. And the core issue with housing is that prices are an arms race where everyone always wants more. Most people would have two or three kids if they felt like they could afford it.

The second core issue is modern dating. That one I don't know how to fix, but the essential issue there is the dynamics of dating not requiring commitment coupled with financial security for women mean long term pair bonding happens at a lower rate and later in life.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by rjzzleep on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @11:03AM (#28050040)
I don't know about South Korea, but looking at some other asian countries, there are a couple of things, I think the housing part falls into number 3 but is only a small part of the whole:

1. Having children without being married has a bunch of problems, and in some countries like singapore gets punished for it in lack of certain social services

2. Most of these societies expect women to work or have their husband take care of them. Maternity leave is in some aspects as bad as or worse than in the US.

3. Having children is expensive and the education stress that follows for over a decade after giving birth is even more straining. The subsidies people get in Asia hardly even make up for the cost of a c-section. Sure the same might be true for the USA, but we know it's not a good place to compare things to. But birth and housing are also a fraction of the long term pain of raising a child in those societies.

Other people have mentioned dating. I think modern societies in general have had a break down in social structures, where people used to get their partners from.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by bobthepanda on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @11:28AM (#28050350)
> Having children is expensive and the education stress that follows for over a decade after giving birth is even more straining.

This times 100. The US education system has a lot of flaws, but for the most part, school placement is usually based on geographical location (which comes with its own set of problems), the SAT and ACT are not terribly difficult, and more importantly those college exams can be retaken multiple times a year.

East Asian education is extremely competitive with competition for spots starting as early as pre-K (age 3). Japanese media often shows how students get their grades ranked and posted outside of the classroom. The college exams are more comprehensive than the American ones; the South Korean Suneung is scheduled to take 9 hours. The Suneung (and Chinese gaokao, Japanese Center Test, Singaporean GCE) are only held once a year, so if you want to retest you have to wait the whole year.

And then there is the problem of school bullying: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/metoo-style-reckoning-ove...

> “A lot of the people used to say bullying matters in school were merely immature scuffles between teenagers,” she said. “Some would even blame the victims, saying that it is their problem that they cannot fit in.”

> Two decades ago, her daughter was beaten by a dozen schoolmates and spent five days in a coma. Yet, when Jo attempted to hold the students accountable, the wider community viewed her as a troublemaker, and her family was forced to move to another area.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by babesh on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @12:23PM (#28051077)
The high tech/high income areas in the US are behaving a lot like this. There is a focus on getting into elite colleges and it propagates all the way down the system to preschool. As you alluded to, this makes it very expensive. People have maybe 2 and sometimes 1 kid… definitely below replacement level.

The one difference I have noticed is that some of those Asian countries are more extreme in that more people choose to not have kids and more people choose to have only one kid instead of two.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by bobthepanda on Wednesday August 04, 2021 @12:41PM (#28063119)
The nice thing is that at least having started out on this path in the US, it is fairly easy to opt out and have good incomes.

I didn't get into any of my Ivy first choices and ended up going to a mid-tier state school and still wound up living well, except without the massive private debt burdens of my peers.

This is different from South Korea or most of East Asia. South Korea's unemployment rate among graduates is pretty high and underemployment even higher, because the system is producing too many university graduates. From Wikipedia:

> As of 2007, 80% of college graduates were job seekers while only 30% of jobs demand highly educated workers.[7] With the recent overabundance of high school and college graduates,[8] the requirements of the labor market mismatch the skills provided by the education system.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by babesh on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @12:18PM (#28051027)
I wonder if we need UBI to stabilize the birthrate. Basically if people have some assurance that their kids can be supported and have decent prospects in life then perhaps they will have more kids.

Also, our big cities have evolved to serve adults vs children. We have a proliferation of services for adults: sit in restaurants, cafes, coffeehouses, etc… Just look at turnstiles to the subway and the stairs you need to ascend/descend. Good luck trying to push strollers or drag children around in our urban areas.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by mathverse on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @12:21PM (#28051049)
For Korea it's not about UBI but about terrible working conditions and societal pressure. Even with UBI you want your children to go to the best schools so they can get a job at one of the Chaebols.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by babesh on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @12:29PM (#28051137)
Wouldn’t UBI serve as a counterweight to terrible working conditions and societal pressure?
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by mathverse on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @12:35PM (#28051200)
Koreans still have a culture of face.It's hard to admit that you live on just UBI and cant hang around your friends in places where you cant really afford to be.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by closeparen on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @01:58PM (#28052123)
Unfortunately I think "decent prospects" is more of a relative social status assessment than an absolute income level assessment.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by soperj on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @11:44AM (#28050602)
>2. Most of these societies expect women to work or have their husband take care of them. Maternity leave is in some aspects as bad as or worse than in the US.

Maybe I'm looking at it wrong, looks like Korea has a year, just split into maternity and parental, and Japan has a year off for both mother and father, although the father seldom takes it. Which countries are comparable to the US?

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by rjzzleep on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @07:39PM (#28055607)
Where did you get this number from ?

I see 90 days. 60 paid full and if its anything like other Asian countries there a pretty low limit for the partial paid part. Maybe you can take a year but you will almost certainly not keep your job afterwards. I guess 45 days after birth is much better than most US jurisdictions.

If the father does get it and doesn’t take it it will most certainly also be because of fear of punishment down the road.

And funny you should say Japan, because from what I hear most people wouldn’t dare take time off.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by soperj on Wednesday August 04, 2021 @05:57PM (#28066939)
the 90 days is just maternity leave. For parental leave you have a year, and by law you can't lose your job.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by rjzzleep on Friday August 06, 2021 @10:13AM (#28087405)
I hate the fact that you didn't even bother looking up your claims, because you don't really understand the law. And the fact that I had to just spent 15 minutes on correcting you.

Maternity leave is 90 days( Article 74 (Protection of Pregnant Women and Nursing Mothers [0]), paternity leave is actually 10 days( Article 18-2 Paternity Leave [1]).

What you're referring to is CHAPTER III-2 assistance for work-family balance. And it only applies "provided, That this shall not apply to cases prescribed by Presidential Decree, such as where it is impossible to employ his or her substitute or where the normal operation of business is significantly impeded"[1]. The burden of proof like always is on the employee.

And while you can't get fired during(provided the presidential decree doesn't apply to you), the employee may still try to get rid of you after you did it. But this also needs explaining that people in South Korea oftentimes stay with their employer a lifetime, that 1 year maybe chosen across 8 years of the Childs birth, and it's unlikely that in Asian culture someone will dare taking it in the first year of their employment.

[0] https://elaw.klri.re.kr/eng_service/lawView.do?hseq=25437&la...

[1] https://elaw.klri.re.kr/kor_service/lawView.do?lang=ENG&hseq...

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by nerdponx on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @10:05AM (#28049325)
I'm not sure that dating "not requiring commitment" is the issue.

It's difficult to commit to dating when you are time-poor and struggling to even get close to the financial trajectory that your parents were on.

It's too easy to blame the kids or whatever, without considering that the kids had and have it harder in many ways than the old people did. Being a millennial in the '00s was pretty good, being a millennial after '08 has not been good (unless you happened to get a sweet high-paying tech job in the '10s).

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by 3pt14159 on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @10:40AM (#28049768)
This is actually part of what I'm talking about. The sweet high-paying tech jobs went to a group of people that can comfortably afford to live without marrying off. They date around because they can. I know, because I got that sweet job in 2008 just at the start of the tech wave and I dated around quite a bit and the pressure to get married for financial reasons wasn't there and the social pressure to get married for its own sake wasn't either. This isn't how it looked like in the 1950s or earlier. Most people didn't date 100 different women or wait until they were 35 to start a home with someone. It's partially financial and partially societal.

At the other end of the spectrum the increasing gap between rich and poor pushed a lot of men completely out of the dating pool because they can no longer afford basic housing for themselves, so even if they would be willing to commit they don't have options.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by closeparen on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @02:45PM (#28052658)
There is a middle way here, which is to partner and commit early, but take some time to enjoy being young adults together before you become chained to a childcare routine. I have a sense that this leads to a more stable family in the long run, and it's what my own parents did.

It is pretty hard to find though. It seems people want either hot casual sex or a house in the suburbs within 6 months, not much in between.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by refurb on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @11:03AM (#28050037)
This doesn’t jive with the idea that high paying, lower skilled jobs were plentiful in the 50’s and you only needed one income for a family let alone a single person.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by pitaj on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @10:53AM (#28049923)
I think one of the biggest issues facing modern dating is the collapse of various socialization activities outside of work. Religion is on a decline so people don't meet at church. Hobby groups are all online now.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by fomine3 on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @08:32PM (#28055939)
Simultaneously movements like MeToo is growing. People tend to avoid relationships with coworker a bit.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by aikinai on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @10:54AM (#28049940)
Neither of these apply to Japan, especially Japan decades ago when their birthrate fell to around the current rate. So that’s a pretty strong data point against these theories being key factors.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by hn_throwaway_99 on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @11:04AM (#28050065)
What?

1. Yes, obviously Japan housing prices have fallen from their insane 90s peak, but housing is still very expensive in Japan, and especially in urban areas where most Japanese (especially younger Japanese) live, space is famously at a premium.

2. I can barely count the number of times I've read articles on the reasons Japanese women don't want to get married. Unlike some Western nations, there is still a cultural expectation in Japan that women do a ton of housework and childrearing with little help from men, to the point that famously elaborate childrens' bento boxes are a source of stress. Many Japanese women with careers easily see marriage as a net negative, obviously different than decades past.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by aikinai on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @11:15AM (#28050186)
1. Space is limited, but always has been. Housing at the scale and quality expected in Japan is still very affordable and isn’t correlated with birthrate. This one is easy to disprove.

2. The reasons you listed are completely different from the one I responded to, and these are certainly potential factors. At least they’re often considered reasonable suspects in Japan.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by fomine3 on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @08:36PM (#28055960)
> urban areas where most Japanese (especially younger Japanese) live

Not "most" people live in where housing price is rising. Foreigners tend to see only metropolis. There are many people living non rural (some are urban? but having car is good) area but affordable housing price.

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by ajmurmann on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @12:59PM (#28051504)
How does childcare look in SK? I believe that in much of the Western world, families living further apart is a problem for having children. Having grand parents nearby can make having children so much easier. In the US I think you either need family nearby or have a lot of money to avoid having children becoming totally overwhelming and very negatively impact all other aspects of your life.
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by iammisc on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @02:23PM (#28052386)
> The second core issue is modern dating. That one I don't know how to fix, but the essential issue there is the dynamics of dating not requiring commitment coupled with financial security for women mean long term pair bonding happens at a lower rate and later in life.

One way to fix it is the government deciding to highly encourage 'old-fashioned' social norms.

For example, we could have single-sex spaces, which help the sexes develop unique cultures that they then have to rely on each other for.

Or we could encourage single-income-earning, realizing more men are going to take advantage of this, and encourage more stay-at-home parenting, realizing that more women will take advantage of this (but by no means should the sex of either role be forced).

Or, we could change sex-ed curricula to focus more broadly on family formation and its importance.

Encourage church membership, since that used to constitute a large portion of the dating pool, and makes it easier for people to find others like them.

Idolize the roles of mothers and fathers and how it's a national duty.

There's lots of ways to fix it. The willpower simply isn't there. Of course, many people are in complete denial as to the root causes too. The truth is sexual attraction is fundamentally based on sexual difference. Save for a slim minority of the population, this is true across the board (yes, even in homosexual relationships). The reason why dating sucks and people can't find partners is because we've attempted to eradicate all sexual difference, but every once in a while human nature overpowers even this, and we see phenomena which our current culture cannot explain but is easily explainable in the larger context of the human condition (for example, the popularity of 50 shades of grey amongst women, or the popularity of 'seduction culture' and the manosphere amongst men).

Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by feoren on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @03:53PM (#28053344)
Honestly this sounds like a dystopian nightmare. It sounds like you're saying we all need to go back to everyone being a Good Christian who knows Their Place In Society and that will solve everything. Yikes! Maybe I'm reading too much into it, or do you actually want a Handmaid's Tale future?
Re:South Korea: The only middle power of its kind by iammisc on Tuesday August 03, 2021 @05:02PM (#28054184)
How can you honestly compare what I wrote to the handmaid's tale, in which women are forced to breed with men who are not even their husbands? There is no overlap between the two visions. Stop the strawmanning. There is literally nothing 'Christian' (your word, not mine) about men married to infertile women having mistresses. That's literally antithetical to the whole thing.

You talk about 'knowing your place in society' as if that's a bad thing. A lot of social problems today descend from the fact that large portions of the population have no place in society.