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A comment on The UK’s delta surge is collapsing. Parent comment

Re:The UK’s delta surge is collapsing by nostrademons on Monday August 02, 2021 @05:48PM (#28043116)
U.S. is only at 50% fully-vaccinated, with several states in the high 30s to 40s. I could believe 70% with at least one shot but haven't seen any statistics to that effect; it doesn't matter much since Delta is still pretty dangerous to partially-vaccinated people. We had 35M recorded COVID cases; I'd believe about a 2:1 undercount, so about 70M total cases (~22%). Vaccines + previous cases was likely past herd immunity for the original variant (hence why cases dropped dramatically after vaccines came out), but with Delta's increased herd immunity threshold we should expect another 50-70M cases within the next few weeks.
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Re:The UK’s delta surge is collapsing by arbuge on Monday August 02, 2021 @07:45PM (#28044124)
> I could believe 70% with at least one shot but haven't seen any statistics to that effect

Good guess. As of today, that's the exact number:

https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2021-08-02/...

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Re:The UK’s delta surge is collapsing by avhon1 on Monday August 02, 2021 @08:07PM (#28044304)
Just for clarity, that's "70% of American adults".

18% of Americans are 15 or younger [1], below the youngest approved vaccine age (the Pfizer vaccine is approved for teenagers as young as 16), so that's (0.18 + (1-0.18) * (1-0.7) = ) ~42% of Americans who haven't even received 1 shot, and 58% who have.

(There may be some error in that, if far more or far less than 70% of non-adult vaccine-eligible people (teenagers aged 16 or 17) have gotten at least one shot, but it probably doesn't change the overall percentage that much.)

[1] https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/field/age-structure

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Re:The UK’s delta surge is collapsing by bialpio on Monday August 02, 2021 @09:45PM (#28044858)
Need to redo some numbers, Pfizer has been approved for ages 12 & up for a couple of months now [1]. Our World In Data lists that ~50% of American population is already fully vaccinated.

[1] https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/coronavi...

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Re:The UK’s delta surge is collapsing by floxy on Monday August 02, 2021 @07:57PM (#28044222)
I found:

https://www.mayoclinic.org/coronavirus-covid-19/vaccine-trac...

...to be quite interesting for covid-19 vaccination information. For example, the state with the lowest rate of at-least-one-dose vaccinations for people 65 and up is West Virginia, at 83.1%. Most states are 90+% or better for that age group.

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Re:The UK’s delta surge is collapsing by adventured on Monday August 02, 2021 @08:27PM (#28044413)
It's 70% adult vaccination at one shot or more (I specified adult in my comment). That's all over US news today. The US is at 165m fully vaccinated (or 50%), most of which are of course in the adult segment.

A very large number of those adults also aren't going to need two doses to reach high levels of protection (against severe outcomes), due to prior infections. One mRNA vaccine dose + prior infection will get you there.

Combined with the recent surge in vaccinations due to Delta concerns, the US will probably see the same drop-off that Britain has by late August - early September.

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