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A comment on If Richard Feynman applied for a job at Microsoft (2002). Parent comment

Re:If Richard Feynman applied for a job at Microsoft (2002) by cbzbc on Friday July 23, 2021 @12:34PM (#27932632)
No, you an apply more reasoning to it up front. If "none of them are correct" then you press 'surprise' first, and you either get the drink you wanted that time, or on your next guess.
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Re:If Richard Feynman applied for a job at Microsoft (2002) by TKZZ on Friday July 23, 2021 @01:03PM (#27932974)
If the labels are all incorrect, you would want to start with the one labelled with the drink you don't want. This would give you an initial chance of 75% of getting the drink you do want (.5 + .25). If you don't get it on the first press, then you would press the one labelled "random", as this would 100% be the drink that you do want.
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Re:If Richard Feynman applied for a job at Microsoft (2002) by jimmaswell on Friday July 23, 2021 @12:46PM (#27932774)
I worked this out for the version of the problem on the linked pages but I must have misread the one posted here.
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