News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by flippertheD on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @10:17PM (#27901621)
Well, all businesses run operations dif and have dif margins, so let's not forget that. I run a recruiting company. From our data a few things have popped up. First, people want higher wages in the lower wage industries. They are asking for $15-20 per hour. Second, lot of these people don't want to go back to the same labor jobs they had - they want to do something different. the problem with this is that they want to get paid more than they were making before for jobs in which they have no exp. For those that think the worker knows they can get more money, it's not the majority. They only know if someone told them. A lot of low wage workers who risked it and stuck it out during the pandemic are upset they really didn't get wage increases. Their employers sure didn't offer it to them. And now they want to quit and get their benefits like the rest. There is a lot going on here. One group though that does want to work are the teenagers. Issue is that they want $20 per hour...this fiasco is probably going to continue for a while.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by Nekhrimah on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @10:43PM (#27901790)
> this fiasco

Your comment is informative, but, come on. This "fiasco" is supply in demand in action. When it (occasionally) favours the workers, it doesn't deserve to be described so negatively.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by flippertheD on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @01:28AM (#27902640)
Well, sure. Just keep in mind how supply chains are working right now. Fiasco / failure - well, most workers didn't even get raises yearly to keep up with annual inflation. I'd say that's negative, although the market "working". Where is the equilibrium then? The balance will be found but at what detriment to society on numerous levels? How many people don't have healthcare? How many people work three jobs? All this is catching up and to me, it's a fiasco...will we see social unrest because of it, or better yet, have we in some ways? What about people finding purpose in life and taking pride in their careers at these lower levels of labor. Compared to 100 years ago maybe we are better off, but I think there could be at least an 80% improvement in the system.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by flippertheD on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @01:59AM (#27902809)
Oh yea, and although we have made "progress", we must all hail the great economy structures we currently have that leaves out environmental externalities. This wonderful society and world where almost all living systems are in decline. To stay on topic with restaurant workers. Remember how hard those people in the kitchen work, many of them who don't speak english and make a set hourly rate, while all the people in the front of the house make massive tips that they don't have to share. just sayin...
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by lumost on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @12:17AM (#27902273)
Why shouldn't a teenager make 20 an hour? At 16 your looking down the road at 2 very expensive options.

1) Go to college and earn a degree for 120-240k dollars

2) Start paying rent, owning your own car, healthcare, food, and leisure activities.

Both of these are expensive directions to take. It used to be that someone could pay for school with a summer job, why shouldn't it be now? It doesn't appear the education changed at all.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by curryst on Friday July 23, 2021 @12:11PM (#27932317)
The inability to pay for college is more an artifact of the insane increase in college prices than it is the pay. Inflation hasn't been kind on minimum wage, but the effect is less drastic than the increase in college prices.

Also, as others have pointed out, teenagers tend to be less reliable employees. One part of that is that they don't need the job, at least in an "I might starve and be homeless if I get fired" sense. Another part is that if they're only working for the summer, they're unlikely to have time to become exemplary employees.

As a society, I agree it makes sense for teenagers to be able to pay for their own education with reasonable work. As a business, I don't think I would see that as my problem to solve directly, and probably not one I could even afford to fix even if I wanted to.

The average in-state tuition in the US (so sticking to the cheaper side) is $10,440/year. There's roughly 10 weeks of summer break, so 400 hours of work assuming a 40 hour work week. You need to make $26/hr after taxes and save every penny of your paycheck to afford that tuition bill. Average out of state tuition is $26,820/year; you'd need to make $67/hr after taxes to pay for that over summer break.

Again, those are after-tax numbers, so you'd have to make north of $30/hour pre-tax to be able to pay for in-state tuition. I just don't see that happening.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by xyzzyz on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @01:00AM (#27902498)
> Why shouldn't a teenager make 20 an hour?

It's not that he "shouldn't". Rather, many businesses cannot afford to both pay teenage employees $20/h, and also to not raise the prices. Some businesses can raise prices just fine, but others are not able to, as the customers will stop buying at higher price point. For example, if all groceries doubled their food prices, I'd still buy food (though maybe less than before), and likely spend more on it than I used to. However, if all restaurants doubled their prices, I'd pretty much stop eating out altogether, except special occasions.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by lumost on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @01:11AM (#27902555)
However if all groceries doubled their prices then all workers would demand higher wages to compensate. Other businesses would need to become more efficient with their labor or reduce margins. In the short-term this means CEOs get paid less, and investors see higher ROI in labor efficient business models.

It's obvious that teenagers can't make 1k/hr without breaking the economy - but I don't see any reason why $20/hr would be outside of historic norms. In 1981 the minimum wage was ~$3.25/hr, translating to ~9.71/hr today. Given the advances in technology that have driven a more than 2x increase in real economic productivity over that period why shouldn't the starting wage be $20/hr for teenagers?

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by xyzzyz on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @02:17AM (#27902908)
All workers demand higher wages at all times. Workers demanding higher wages stronger and harder won't raise aggregate wages by much, as there is only so much that is actually being produced, and aggregate wages can pretty much only be increased through increase in aggregate supply: the margins are already pretty thin, especially in retail and food service business, and the CEO pay is pretty small component in grand scheme of things (CEOs also don't actually consume much of their earnings, they invest most of it, so you can't actually transfer much of consumption from them to workers).

> Given the advances in technology that have driven a more than 2x increase in real economic productivity over that period why shouldn't the starting wage be $20/hr for teenagers?

The growth in economic productivity hasn't been uniformly distributed across industries, and it's been pretty low exactly in the industries depending on cheap, low skill labor. What are the advances in technology between now and 1981 that made restaurants 2x more productive?

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by lumost on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @09:45AM (#27906158)
Workers do not demand appropriate wages commensurate with their value at all times. I recall making $7.25/hr and having colleagues "doing well" by making $7.50/hr. At the time it was not uncommon for "good" employers in the service sector to promise something along the lines of a $.25/hr raise every 6 months to a year.

Now the problem with this is that the effect is to lower expectations for wages by taking advantage of financial literacy. Someone working for them for 4 years receiving a raise every 6 months earns $2/hr more. The employer/seasoned employees point to this and say that a starting wage $2/hr higher is unreasonable. Unfortunately the fixed rate wage increases diminish over time, and if you think that moving into management/higher level positions would entitle you to more money... then I have a bridge in Brooklyn to sell you.

When employers mirror this strategy or take other similar approaches, then you end up with wages that are depressed relative to the value of the labor being provided ( or the opportunity value if that labor was applied to other activities, or used more efficiently ).

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by rswail on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @06:47AM (#27904561)
> What are the advances in technology between now and 1981 that made restaurants 2x more productive?

Microwaves, dishwashers, steam-injection ovens, just-in-time logistics for raw ingredient deliveries, credit cards, online ordering...

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by xyzzyz on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @09:47AM (#27906199)
Microwaves and dishwashers were popular in commercial environment before 1980, and I don’t think credit cards make a restaurant more productive.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by lumost on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @09:58AM (#27906350)
> I don’t think credit cards make a restaurant more productive.

They certainly reduce the potential for theft/shrinkage! It used to be that you needed a trusted business manager/employee to manage the register, now anyone can do it and it's much harder for someone to siphon funds. All transactions are now viewable to management to more easily see what's selling and what's not.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by xyzzyz on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @12:20PM (#27908269)
That’s a good point, haven’t thought of that.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by rswail on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @06:45AM (#27904543)
If all restaurants doubled their prices, but, at the same time, paid their employees a proper wage (and made that public) and removed tipping, they could effectively raise their prices 20% (the expected tip) without any impact on the customers.

McDonalds manages to make profits in EU/AU/NZ/CA etc while (mnostly) complying with local minimum wages and conditions. The Big Mac index shows that their actual prices are within a narrow band compared to the US.

They (and other megacorps like Walmart) exploit both their workers and their customers, who end up paying the workers via the inefficient means of tax credits and poverty relief instead of the corporations/businesses being required to pay proper wages and contribute to their local communities via taxation.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by xyzzyz on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @09:49AM (#27906223)
> If all restaurants doubled their prices, but, at the same time, paid their employees a proper wage (and made that public) and removed tipping, they could effectively raise their prices 20% (the expected tip) without any impact on the customers.

If they doubled they prices, they could increase them by 20%? Huh?

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by seattle_spring on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @01:57AM (#27902797)
Or they could go to a reasonably priced college for $40k or less and get just as good of a job. $120k is a jokingly high amount of tuition.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by lumost on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @10:03AM (#27906436)
Reasonable priced such as an in-state university?

https://www.umass.edu/financialaid/undergraduate/undergradua...

In-state: 30,656 * 4 = 122k

Out Of State: 51,181 * 4 = 205k

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by seattle_spring on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @08:05PM (#27913734)
You picked a total outlier, a very prestigious public school in one of the most expensive states. University of Utah, for example, is a relatively good school and costs about $8k / year for in state tuition.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by lumost on Thursday July 22, 2021 @09:08AM (#27918378)
University of Utah costs 23k per year in-state with a total cost of 27k per year including indirect costs. Out of state is 43k/yr excluding indirect costs.

If you looked at this 5-10 years ago your numbers were probably right. But interest rates are low and borrowers can borrow far too much money.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by seattle_spring on Thursday July 22, 2021 @01:00PM (#27921398)
Tuition is $9k per semester full time [1]. You're looking at costs that include housing, which someone needs regardless of their status as a student.

[1] https://financialaid.utah.edu/tuition-and-fees/cost-of-atten...

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by flippertheD on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @01:33AM (#27902674)
Have you ever employed a teenager? They lack life exp. They lack confidence. They really don't know much at all about anything on a professional level. Sometimes you get good ones, but the majority are not sticking around for long or are doing a poor job. Your customers wont return with bad experiences and low quality. College is a scam for most. Put these young kids in debt for most of their life to earn a degree for which they are not even into. Better off going to trade school. And by the way, the lack of labor in skilled trades is astounding right now. Making $20/hr is better than $12/hr, but it's not really going to make a big dent in your college debt.

edit: talk to any large employer and ask them about employing the younger generation. All of them will say they have no work ethic and sit on their phones the whole time. You know what else, they think they should be paid $100k/hr and be millionaires...so try managing a bunch of people with that attitude and try not to go crazy. These companies are now reaching out to the older crowd for which they used to discriminate against because the young people suck.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by rswail on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @06:49AM (#27904576)
> talk to any large employer and ask them about employing the younger generation. All of them will say they have no work ethic and sit on their phones the whole time.

“The children now love luxury; they have bad manners, contempt for authority; they show disrespect for elders and love chatter in place of exercise. Children are now tyrants, not the servants of their households. They no longer rise when elders enter the room. They contradict their parents, chatter before company, gobble up dainties at the table, cross their legs, and tyrannize their teachers.” - Socrates

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by rendall on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @10:28PM (#27901705)
It sounds like a seller's market.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by fridif on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @10:59PM (#27901874)
A seller's market created by a law in which if the buyer pays too low of a price, very bad things happen to them.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by rendall on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @11:36PM (#27902082)
One would expect in that case lots of laborers with wages at the minimum, and many more looking for work. What we're seeing in the description is not that.
Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by fridif on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @12:07AM (#27902223)
I reckon the jobs are not on offer because the restaurants only want to pay a small amount (they have razor thin margins and an employee costs more than just salary [workers comp, insurance, equipment, liability etc]).

Previously people accepted the small amount, but now they aren't because they're (currently still) being paid to stay home in most cases.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by rendall on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @01:57AM (#27902794)
I do agree with you that a minimum wage potentially has unintended negative consequences for those looking to work but do not have valuable skills to offer. An employer may make do without rather than hire a day laborer for instance at an expensive rate. We might disagree on whether negative consequences are inevitable.

By your assessment, though, it seems the seller's market is not caused by the minimum wage, but by COVID relief packages?

Also, I'm sorry you're getting downvoted. I only downvote if someone goes against community guidelines, and not if I simply disagree with them

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by fridif on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @11:52AM (#27907875)
No problem, I'm used to the downvoting :)

I think it is important to distinguish a couple of things.

If there are businesses out there, like maybe McDonalds or Walmart, who are easily able to pay $20 per hour instead of $7.50, and are choosing not to do so because of a desire for even larger profits, then yes, this is evidence of a mild seller's market for labor and also a lack of market savvy on behalf of McDonalds/Walmart.

If those corps are already offering $20 an hour and benefits and still people are not showing up to work, then it is a roaring seller's market for labor, and must in theory be caused by some other external source that is causing laborers to feel $20 is too low. Where are they going, what are they doing? Are they taking the opportunity to pursue a degree? Are they staying at home playing video games? Have they all found a job making $42 an hour talking on the phone at home? We would need the data to answer these questions.

But in the exact case of restaurants, I genuinely think most of them do not have the money. I haven't ever in my life met a restaurant owner who has a stable financial situation with a paid off mortgage, nice car, and 3 kids put through college already having become cardiologists or something like that. But I've met a lot of other people who have done all that. And I've met a lot of restaurant owners too.

I think that all they can afford is $7.50-$12.50 an hour in most cases, with no benefits. And now that city centers have seen a good portion of their residents with lots of disposable income move away, I suspect that most restaurants have lost the financial base that used to support them.

I saw a video of a restaurant owner during the pandemic in NYC who cut his staff from 45 to 3 and was just barely able to pull it together and survive. Was he paying his people more than $15 an hour? Don't know.

Re:Restaurant workers quit at record rate by rendall on Thursday July 22, 2021 @12:49PM (#27921241)
That makes sense