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A comment on Blue Origin first human flight. Parent comment

Re:Blue Origin first human flight by machiaweliczny on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @12:03PM (#27895448)
Will see how Elon's 100 of Starships per year will affect costs of transport to space.
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Re:Blue Origin first human flight by mmmBacon on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @07:42PM (#27900615)
I suspect that as they scale up their costs will increase due to logistics and maintenance costs not necessarily scaling linearly with launches. Furthermore, I suspect that the failure rate will also increase as the launch frequency goes up and hence costs associated with launch failures also increase.
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Re:Blue Origin first human flight by iso1631 on Wednesday July 21, 2021 @04:24AM (#27903760)
> I suspect that the failure rate will also increase as the launch frequency goes up

So you're saying that after say the initial 100 launches

Launch 100-199 would have 5 failures

Launch 200-299 would have 7 failures

Launch 300-399 would have 10 failures

Why?

Generally doing more of something reduces the cost per something. Why do you think the inverse will hold with spacex?

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