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Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by jltsiren on Saturday July 03, 2021 @07:01PM (#27725701)
That depends on passenger volume. Trains require massive initial investments, but the marginal cost per passenger is very low. Air travel is mostly about marginal costs, and it requires massive infrastructure at endpoints. For example, an aiport serving 50 million passengers/year is two orders of magnitude larger than a railway station with a similar passenger volume. And while the airport would be one of the 30-40 busiest in the world, the railway station would not be particularly noteworthy.
Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by beerandt on Saturday July 03, 2021 @08:33PM (#27726276)
Yea, which is why trains costs are so sensitive to distance- it's massive up front cost is a function of that distance. It's not the stations, it's the rails and right-of-way.

The problem most people ignore is that train marginal-increases max-out at some number of trains per day, before you need an additional set of tracks.

And that happens at a much lower number than most people assume, especially if you're planning on sharing that track with other routes. And even worse if you have to use or cross a freight track.

So not only does efficiency have a min bounds, but also a local-max bounds, where you need a large enough marginal increase to justify the additional rails.

Whereas the airline equivalent is whether to schedule an additional flight. Which is easier to commit to than whether a new track is justified.

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by jltsiren on Saturday July 03, 2021 @10:09PM (#27726762)
Train costs are sensitive to sparsely populated regions. As long as there is a sufficiently large city every hour or so, distances don't really matter.

Multi-track railways are common near major cities. They are not that expensive, because adding another set of tracks increases the width of the corridor only marginally.

The airline equivalent of a new set of tracks is building a new runway. Because that's often impossible, landing slots at busy airports have become very valuable. For example, airlines have paid tens of millions for a daily landing slot at Heathrow.

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by inglor_cz on Sunday July 04, 2021 @03:35AM (#27727926)
"Multi-track railways are common near major cities. They are not that expensive, because adding another set of tracks increases the width of the corridor only marginally."

About a quarter of all railway passengers in Czechia take the suburban trains around Prague.

We sorely need extra sets of tracks from all directions, because the current tracks are overloaded. Especially the faster trains from other regions do not mix well with the regional trains that stop every 2 km or so.

But it is almost impossible to build those extra sets of tracks in a densely populated major city like Prague. Lots of NIMBYs, the needed land would be very expensive, many buildings would have to be torn down, plus the centre is a protected zone (historical buildings) and the protecting authorities fight tooth and nail against anything that changes the look and feel of the inner city.

As a result, we are stuck with old infrastructure even if new one is sorely needed. There might be a way, namely, to build all the new tracks underground - but that would be very, very expensive.

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by LargoLasskhyfv on Sunday July 04, 2021 @05:01PM (#27732583)
Do it as subways in a way like the new lines in Barcelona did.

edit: By that I mean something like illustrated here https://ca.wikipedia.org/wiki/L%C3%ADnia_9_del_metro_de_Barc...

Make them 15 to 16 meters in diameter to be usable by any train, or use 2 of them side by side. Problem mostly solved.

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by inglor_cz on Monday July 05, 2021 @02:54AM (#27735274)
It can be done, but geology under Prague is terrible. A lot of broken layers with lots of sediments and water.

Our subway system was rather expensive to build and maintain, doing this with trains would probably be too expensive even for a fairly rich city like Prague.

There are some rudimentary plans for railway tunnels under the very center of the city, but the expected cost is eye-watering.

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by LargoLasskhyfv on Monday July 05, 2021 @05:32AM (#27736056)
Tap into the limitless cornucopia of the EU. For protecting the historic scenery, cultural heritage, being good for the environment, enabling shorter travel times, supporting tourism, intercultural exchange...

We're in a phase of low interest rates, resulting in easy money politics. Burn some billions before others do ;->

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by ClumsyPilot on Saturday July 03, 2021 @09:55PM (#27726703)
>"Whereas the airline equivalent is whether to schedule an additional flight. Which is easier to commit to than whether a new track is justified."

Except many world's biggest airports, like Heathrow, are operating at peak capacity and building another runway at heathrow is expensive, controvertial, involves relocating people's homes and is still a political football

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by beerandt on Friday July 09, 2021 @01:07AM (#27780632)
Air still has the advantage- runway is not a function of distance to the destination, and runways are not destination specific.

So it's more appropriate to compare it to part of the station cost, along the lines of another boarding area & track, increasing arrivals and departures.

Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by Clewza313 on Saturday July 03, 2021 @10:30PM (#27726834)
With dedicated track, though, those limits can be quite high. The Yamanote Line in Tokyo carries around 4 million passengers per day on two tracks.
Re:Will we ever fly supersonically over land? by beerandt on Friday July 09, 2021 @01:12AM (#27780659)
Yes- and imho, that's the way to do it. Make it competitive in terms of time and trouble and cost and usability. But it's still not going to be more energy efficient than air for most situations & destinations.