Re:Excess deaths and SARS-CoV2 vaccinations in Scotland
by btilly on Friday June 18, 2021 @10:03PM
(#27557117)
It gets worse. Anyone who tracked COVID at all knows that there is a several week gap between getting COVID and when people die from it. So vaccinations today are expected to have zero impact on the death rate over the next month.
The result is that the decline in the death rate starts at about where you'd expect it to start if the vaccine did what it is supposed to do. And the people dying when the vaccine rollout started are people who caught it before the vaccine was available and only then reached the point where the disease killed them.
In a world filled with garbage analyses, this one is exceptionally bad. I flagged it because this isn't the kind of weird garbage that I come to HN to see.
Re:Excess deaths and SARS-CoV2 vaccinations in Scotland
by manwe150 on Friday June 18, 2021 @10:14PM
(#27557160)
And it may get even worse than that: in a world with dozens of countries vaccinated, statistically one is expected to show correlations where none exists.
The result is that the decline in the death rate starts at about where you'd expect it to start if the vaccine did what it is supposed to do. And the people dying when the vaccine rollout started are people who caught it before the vaccine was available and only then reached the point where the disease killed them.
In a world filled with garbage analyses, this one is exceptionally bad. I flagged it because this isn't the kind of weird garbage that I come to HN to see.