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Re:Heart inflammation cases in young men higher than expecte... by dfsegoat on Thursday June 10, 2021 @02:45PM (#27464066)
It's a postmarketing surveillance system [1]. Not a controlled trial, so the true exposure vs. reported cases isn't known for these data from VAERS.

> "There were 283 observed cases of heart inflammation after the second vaccine dose in those aged 16 to 24 in the VAERS data. That compares with expectations of 10-to-102 cases for that age range based on U.S. population background incidence rates, the CDC said."

They use Observed vs. Expected cases in order to calculate e.g. a reporting odds ratio [2], which can loosely guide you in finding events which occur disproportionately.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Postmarketing_surveillance

2. https://allaboutpharmacovigilance.org/43-reporting-odds-rati...

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