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Re:83% of Americans Are Belt Tightening Due to Inflation Pre... by imtringued on Wednesday May 26, 2021 @02:43PM (#27294452)
Take Germany as an example of stagflation. Last year we had to fell a lot of trees because bark beetles. Everyone was dumping their bad lumber. A CDU politician introduced a 85% quota so that the markets can recover but now the situation has reversed and some forest owners are not allowed to harvest their lumber despite high prices. For small businesses losing those last 15% may make it unprofitable to harvest at all. Making it illegal to run businesses serving hot markets is a recipe for cost increases without corresponding wage increases.

However, in the US the investment rate is going up and businesses are expanding production. The biggest factor right now is the semiconductor shortage and there it is just a matter of time before things return to normal.

Re:83% of Americans Are Belt Tightening Due to Inflation Pre... by lumost on Wednesday May 26, 2021 @03:20PM (#27294872)
Anecdotally, I've become skeptical of US business investment and production metrics. Companies can ramp up investment into assets or expand production of assets without producing consumer/b2b goods.

We capture increased production and investment in speculative assets as economic growth when it may not yield any new production.