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Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by fvdessen on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @11:35AM (#27196083)
PoS is not just a more environmentally version of PoW. It is a lot more vulnerable to state level actors. If the state takes over / subverts / influences the limited number of stakeholders, then it is game over.

With PoW the state can influence the existing miners, but cannot prevent new independent miners to pop up and counter act.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by CarlBeek on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @11:46AM (#27196230)
There are 141,139 validators active in Ethereum as we speak (source: https://beaconcha.in/), corrupting that many people is very difficult. There are smaller PoS systems with eg. tens of validators which are more susceptible to state capture.

Bitcoin (the network with the most mining effort) lost 25% of their hashing power due to blackouts in Xinjiang. (Soure: https://twitter.com/nic__carter/status/1384938089748041730?s...) State capture of a majority of Bitcoin miners is comparatively easy.

In addition, independent miners have less hardware and that hardware is generally less efficient when compared to the large ASIC farms. In reality a recovery would probably require social consensus and a hard fork

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by eeegnu on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:11PM (#27196707)
Correct me if I'm wrong since I've only read the brief overview of how validators work on ethereum.org, but 141k validators doesn't mean anything when every validator is independent / anonymous and someone with 32k eth staked is actually one entity taking on the role of 1000 validators.
Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by meowkit on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:14PM (#27197827)
But that doesn’t mean all of those validators will be in the same voting committee, or that any of them will be selected to propose a new block.

Many of you in this thread need to read up on how the staking is designed to work.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by eeegnu on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @02:40PM (#27199143)
The point is that the parent comment conflated validators with people, whereas one person or entity can control many validators. That doesn't say anything about it being better or worse than PoW, but it's disingenuous to claim that an attack needs to compromise so many individual people rather than potentially just a few entities that control vast quantities of eth.
Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by fvdessen on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:38PM (#27197238)
Corrupting many people is easy if you are a superpower and can make laws that affect many people.

With PoW you can corrupt many miners, but the other superpowers can spawn new miners to counter act.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by micropresident on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:04PM (#27196586)
Yeah, and the way they are issuing rewards means there's an incentive to split your validation across multiple nodes to increase your changes at getting rewards. Each one of these costs electricity to run both in terms of bandwidth and electricity.

And other methods introduce the possibility of stake grinding.

BOTH converge to the same energy usage as mining.

OTOH, the legacy financial system is significantly more energy intensive for a given financial network value. You don't think banks and wars in the middle east to maintain the value of the network have an environmental impact?

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by hajile on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:02PM (#27197658)
Don't forget the billionaire problem either.

Proof of Stake as setup gives all the power to people/companies who have large amounts of liquid assets.

Consider Amazon, they keep a rolling window of cash in-between when an item is sold and when the seller gets paid. This effectively gives them billions in interest-free capital. If this were Etherium, it would translate into huge amounts of voting power.

Likewise, if/when people deposit their etherium into banks, those banks can then leverage that "free" capital to grab huge voting stakes that wouldn't otherwise exist (because no person living paycheck to paycheck has the equivalent of 100k sitting around).

This leverage simply does not exist with proof of work.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by pamplemoose on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @11:46AM (#27196236)
or you can fork and remove the bad actors, burning all their coins. good luck with their next attack. in contrast, you can't burn an attackers fleet of miners
Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by micropresident on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @11:59AM (#27196468)
What do you think a PoW change does when the PoW is being done by ASICs?

Slashing stake is significantly more arbitrary. You basically need to reset the coin's ledger in order for it to make any sense.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by nootropicat on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:30PM (#27197111)
>What do you think a PoW change does when the PoW is being done by ASICs

It's only possible once, and this move is so obviously predictable any determined attacker is going to have gpus ready.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by micropresident on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:45PM (#27197379)
Repeating "ultrasound money" memes. That specific meme has to do with state level attackers blowing up mining farms. It has nothing to do with changing issuance. And the entire premise is that an external force comes in and tries to co-opt it.

That isn't relevant to the conversation of stakers having misaligned incentives to change the rules. The most a state level actor can do is censor transactions if they were to take over a chain.

With PoS you'd need to slash the validators stake on a fork; which isn't going to happen because the stakers run the validators everyone is using. You already saw this with the steemit takeover.

In PoW coins, the miners and validating economic nodes are two separate groups. Watch what happens when exchanges slip over to Eth2 nodes and call it Eth.

During the BCHA/BCH split the exchanges were the ones that decided the ticker. Most users have ZERO CLUE about what happened. They went on their with their lives calling the fork the exchanges chose BCH. Once exchanges are validators there is no bulwark against changes.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by nootropicat on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:41PM (#27198282)
>With PoS you'd need to slash the validators stake on a fork; which isn't going to happen because the stakers run the validators everyone is using.

Sorry but I don't see your point here. A fork inherently requires action, it's enough to force a node to follow a different block from some height. At that point the attacker would get penalized for being offline. Outright deletion would require code modification. It's even possible to automate a minority fork in the case of censorship, although this capability doesn't exist yet.

>You already saw this with the steemit takeover.

Steem isn't even PoS, it's dPoS. Even in this case users successfully created a fork called Hive and removed Justin Sun's coins.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by fvdessen on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:16PM (#27197866)
> The most a state level actor can do is censor transactions if they were to take over a chain.

Which is the exact thing state level actors want to do !

What is the use of crypto if the state can ban me or my country from it ? Isn’t that exactly what decentralisation was supposed to prevent ?

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by nootropicat on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:15PM (#27196812)
The exact opposite is true. It's always possible for a state to obtain enough mining hardware - PoW is hopelessly insecure. It also has infinite economies of scale inevitably leading to absolute centralization even absent state attack. Once majority of hashrate is achieved, profits nearly double as minority can be censored. That's the inevitable end state of PoW.

PoS is resistant to state attacks because it would require buying up tokens on an impossible scale, and in the case an attack somehow succeeds a fork can be created that deletes the hostile stake. This can be repeated indefinitely. That's impossible in PoW more than once, once a gpu PoW gets attacked it's over.

PoS has no economies of scale, so contrary to PoW it can stay decentralized forever. There's no way to make existing stakers unprofitable by adding more nodes, like it's possible with mining hardware in PoW.

PoW is also vulnerable to takeover of existing miners because mining at scale requires big industrial warehouses with industrial power owned by registered companies. Impossible to hide. PoS can run on anonymous home nodes.

In every single security and decentralization aspect PoW is hopelessly inferior to PoS.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by fvdessen on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:32PM (#27197144)
> PoS is resistant to state attacks because it would require buying up tokens on an impossible scale

You don't need to buy the tokens. You make laws which the stakers have to follow, otherwise you seize their tokens for breaking the law. You can also use electronic warfare to steal the tokens of stakers outside your juridiction. If you are doing this as a big country such as USA/China, then other stakers might be tempted not to fork because a compromised system that works with those countries might still be more valuable than an uncompromised system that has not access to a large part of the world economy.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by nootropicat on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:16PM (#27197871)
This is only enforceable against miners, not stakers. Stakers can trivially hide, miners can't.

>otherwise you seize their tokens for breaking the law.

that's not possible, there's no mechanism to seize eth. What can be trivially seized, though, are physical miners.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by swensel on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @12:53PM (#27197514)
Are there any proven PoS coins out there yet that have demonstrated resiliency under an attack? Honest question.
Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by nootropicat on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:27PM (#27198072)
I don't know of any PoS coins that were attacked. Contrary to PoW, PoS is used for a very general category and differences between multiple versions are great. Many don't even have slashing making them a trust-based system (like Cardano) and I don't think they should be considered proof of stake - because without slashing nothing is actually at stake.

Additionally except for eth all have the fundamental problem of extremely centralized distribution. This [1] extreme centralization is representative of new VC coins. That tiny sliver of 'Coinlist (unlocked auction) 4.3%' is the only part that was available to non-insiders.

[1] https://icodrops.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Solano-token...

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by swensel on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:40PM (#27198265)
Yes, I'd be curious what some PoS coin experts have to say about the centralization concern of PoS, and how network security and uptime is guaranteed in a PoS network that doesn't have slashing.

I'm also wondering about the resiliency of PoS. The PoW used in Bitcoin has demonstrated resiliency against attacks, and none of the attacks have been successful so far, that I know of.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by nootropicat on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @02:03PM (#27198604)
>The PoW used in Bitcoin has demonstrated resiliency against attacks

Multiple PoW coins have been successfully attacked, like ETC. Because they are already on GPUs there's no fix - just hope it doesn't repeat. Those successful attacks prove that any attack on PoW is only a question of external resources (sha256 ASICs for btc).

It's also surprisingly hard to profit from a 51% attack on pure speculation coins like btc or etc because next to zero actual economic activity is happening on them, which is why such attacks were rare and small in scope. The best you can actually do is to try to double spend an exchange. If they were actually used for real commerce profit becomes much easier. It could also become a military goal - if Iran relied on a PoW-coin for its economy, blocking their coins would destroy their economy.

This is one of the reasons why ethereum absolutely must switch to PoS - PoW is extremely insecure for smart contracts because there are many more ways to profit from an attack, like censoring price updates for defi.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by swensel on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @02:21PM (#27198850)
I'm aware of the ETC attacks. I don't think ETC can really be compared to BTC though. The ETC network is composed of the idealistic (or maybe stubborn) folks who didn't want to switch over to the new ETH chain after the DAO hack. I'm not saying ETC has no merit, but it didn't have the same network resilience due to the split.

Seems like you know a lot about PoS, would you be willing to check out my other comments on this post (https://news.ycombinator.com/threads?id=swensel)? I've covered some concerns / questions that I have about PoS that maybe you can answer in more detail.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by danlugo92 on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @01:31PM (#27198131)
PoW can also fork.

It's not just miners, it's also full nodes that validate.

Full nodes can disagree with miners: instant fork.

If say Putin would acquire 51% of mining hash rate people would realize (before he gets there) and would fork.

My comment is not in support or against PoW, I'm just stating the fact that PoW isn't inherently unsafer than PoS.

Re:Ethereum will use around 99.95% less energy post merge by nootropicat on Tuesday May 18, 2021 @02:36PM (#27199074)
That's only possible once - from asic PoW to a gpu/cpu PoW.

After that, if the fork becomes popular, the attacker moves and attacks it again. Are people supposed to fork once per week? At that point it's not PoW consensus anymore, because the interventions move from emergency to normal, and you're under something else.