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Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by vagrantJin on Saturday May 15, 2021 @07:02AM (#27164160)
Who knew the man was a savant.

The man had, word for word, given a concise description if the internet platforms in 2021 and the last 5-6 years.

With a few notable exceptions, such as HN, a different opinion/worldview is wholly unacceptable. The power of these platforms to silence dissent would have probably made the likes of Joseph Goebels salivate and smack his lips in approval.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by karolist on Saturday May 15, 2021 @07:53AM (#27164408)
"exceptions, such as HN", you really don't think there's a hivemind here? Or are you censoring yourself in fear of downvotes, precisely as per OP. There are many ways to get to top of HN, few examples: write a rehashed "Kubernetes sucks" article. Write anything about Rust. Write an article criticizing Google. Write an article about how webdev is "wrong" nowadays. Etc. Etc. Etc.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by vagrantJin on Saturday May 15, 2021 @09:02AM (#27164819)
Nope. I have plenty of downvotes but HN really does have a better incidence of open discussion unless someone is obviously giving an answer that's not thought out or off-topic with unneccesary hostility adding no value to the discussion (like a racial slur)

Not to say there isnt a hivemind, there is but conversation rarely disintergrates into mindless name-calling.

There is space to disagree. And anecdotally I tend to disagree with a lot of things but I've never been banned/silenced.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by mancerayder on Saturday May 15, 2021 @12:07PM (#27166426)
I think the 'hivemind' stuff is a bit overstated, but there are a few areas where, given the topic, you have a high chance of being downvoted even if you provide a rational, non-personal, non-offensive, and careful opinion. This is just what I've witnessed based on the article-type that I click on and observe the commentariat (I'm sure there are many other topics):

- If the article is about Bitcoin or crypto and there are a large number of people talking about externalities. If someone says something that's perceived as being not in line, it's getting heavily downvoted.

- If the article is about the stock market and there are a large number of people who are recommending index fund dollar-cost averaging. Someone says they picked stocks. Bye-bye, comment font contrast against the background. Greyed. Those grey comments are probably mine in this example.

- If the article is about a recent event around a cancellation such as a firing or a conversation around misinformation, anything perceived as questioning that (such as using the word censorship in the comment) has a near-guarantee of downvotes. There is no way to ever come to the defense of someone who said something that has been deemed misinformation, a conspiracy theory, or such, without being associated with the cancelled. It's almost dangerous to even opine at this point if you have feelings around freedom of speech. Note: I'm not talking about the opinion itself, but the right to air it, and coming to defense of that. It's poorly received.

- Criticisms of Google, curiously, and I've seen Facebook as well (although I think Facebook fell out of favor in the last few years). I have a theory about many employees coming to the defense of their employer out of loyalty.

There are probably many other examples of dangerous topics that provoke the group. I think there is something in people's mind that lets them justify this as follows:

"If you question the popular wisdom here, when you have a group saying A, and you say B, you must be a troll out to provoke people."

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by kingsuper20 on Saturday May 15, 2021 @03:28PM (#27168130)
I simply upvote anything that's gray.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by mancerayder on Saturday May 15, 2021 @11:03PM (#27170860)
I often do that, even if I completely disagree, if I feel like someone was rational and reasonable in their comment. I like to think comment vote should be around quality of argument, not the Correct Opinion / Side.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by unanswered on Saturday May 15, 2021 @01:09PM (#27166964)
> I think there is something in people's mind that lets them justify this as follows:

> "If you question the popular wisdom here, when you have a group saying A, and you say B, you must be a troll out to provoke people."

The HN moderation team holds to this "principle" and has thereby essentially developed a community around it. That is, this isn't a bug, it's a feature.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by mancerayder on Saturday May 15, 2021 @01:17PM (#27167025)
I don't think the moderation team sought out to create a monoculture- is that what you are suggesting? Downvotes and upvotes for comments for many people are viewed as ways to reward/punish well-constructed/poorly constructed argumentation. I'm sure originally it was a way to conceive of a popularity rating for an article/post. Something with tons of upvotes is popular.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by unanswered on Saturday May 15, 2021 @01:38PM (#27167242)
I think I'm offering this as an alternative to the theory that a monoculture was intentionally created, which is one which the mod team disclaims as I understand it. But if every individual moderation decision is made on the basis of "disagreeing with the 'accepted' answer is trolling" or something like that, and the HN community is [self-]selected on that basis, then I think that's an equally good or better explanation for what I actually observe in comment sections.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by mancerayder on Saturday May 15, 2021 @01:45PM (#27167295)
There's something to be said that the monoculture path or end result - if that's what we think is the trend - is more a function more broadly of either technology or some cultural norm. Because it's so incredibly widespread outside of HN, the comment voting behavior here seems to me more like a symptom of a broader problem than a design artifact.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by christophilus on Saturday May 15, 2021 @08:58AM (#27164780)
I see contrarian opinions all the time on HN. This is a fairly libertarian place. There is plenty of groupthink, but there are pro/con opinions of just about every thread posted here.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by kayodelycaon on Saturday May 15, 2021 @09:02AM (#27164824)
> With a few notable exceptions, such as HN, a different opinion/worldview is wholly unacceptable

I don’t see any difference on Hacker News. Dang does an amazing job moderating and people are somewhat more civil to each other and more curious on average but the culture here strongly weeds out people who are not comfortable with aggressively stated opinions.

I like it here but Hacker News has a culture that suits the people who come here. Only approved non-conformity is tolerated. This is true of every community, to pretend otherwise is kind of silly in my opinion.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by batch12 on Saturday May 15, 2021 @12:53PM (#27166830)
I would argue that instead of approved nonconformity it is polite nonconformity that is tolerated. Some people self-censor out of fear of disagreement downvotes, but I see all kinds of opinions and that is why I come here. I also think we see what we want in a lot of dialog. Either folks look for opposition and find it or they seek out likeminded opinions and find that too. Its not that there is a central culture here, it is that there are so many differing opinions that you can perceive the site however you choose.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by wizzwizz4 on Saturday May 15, 2021 @07:38AM (#27164344)
You think Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn was prescient? Try George Eliot (Mary Ann Evans).

Or maybe it's that human society doesn't change as quickly as our technological innovations make it feel, so accurate observations about the present tend to hold true centuries after they're made.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by evgen on Saturday May 15, 2021 @07:56AM (#27164419)
The other alternative is that Solzhinitsyn and Eliot had their heads so far up their own asses that they imagined any rebuke or slight as a sure sign of the end of days for civilization when in fact it was not. You could fill entire libraries with the books and articles written by notable (at the time) intellectuals who all decry the state of the current world, blame it all on 'fashion' (as opposed to their own firmly deduced logical conclusions that no one should dare to question), and tell everyone else that we are already tumbling quickly down the slippery slope to some undesirable end state.

It must be terrifying for people like this (and those in this same thread trying to make statements from the late 70s sound like prescient warnings for the 2020s) to see the world turning away from their writings or simply deciding that they were not as important or significant as society once thought. When the crowd goes one way and you desperately want it to follow in the direction you are trying to lead it must be quite frightening and depressing.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by slibhb on Saturday May 15, 2021 @11:48AM (#27166263)
> The other alternative is that Solzhinitsyn and Eliot had their heads so far up their own asses that they imagined any rebuke or slight as a sure sign of the end of days for civilization when in fact it was not.

Plato does this too. Was his head also up his ass? Anyway, he was right, no? He was writing at the end of the Classical period.

The truth is just that there's a constant struggle between past and future, tradition and innovation, and to go all in on one side or the other (which is what we are all drawn to) is insane. Pointing out the downsides of innovation is not wrong unless you're arguing for doing away with it altogether.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by matthewdgreen on Sunday May 16, 2021 @08:39AM (#27173287)
Speeches like these occur in all eras of history, including both the waxing and waning phases of powerful civilizations. It’s about as novel as an old man complaining about “kids these days.”

If you discount that factor: these sentiments are also a pretty normal reaction to any society that has experienced substantial improvements in the average person’s well-being within the speaker’s lifetime. If you’ve watched your country emerge from pre-industrial poverty, then of course your forebears are going to seem (in retrospect) powerful and resilient to harsh conditions, while your contemporaries are going to appear relatively soft and materialistic. That doesn’t necessarily mean you want such people leading you into the future. Indeed, Solzhenitsyn‘s late-life endorsement of Putin shows the peril in that.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by wizzwizz4 on Saturday May 15, 2021 @08:43AM (#27164698)
I don't think either of these people wrote or talked about the end days of civilisation.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by cafard on Saturday May 15, 2021 @09:08AM (#27164860)
Meh. Don't like CNN/NY Times? There's always Fox News/Reason/The Federalist. Your voice isn't heard at Harvard? Well, there's Hillandale College and others.

It would be hard to find a point of view that can't be found in print or on line today.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by robomartin on Saturday May 15, 2021 @11:00AM (#27165777)
You make it sound like there’s an ideological 50/50 ratio in US media. This isn’t even close to the truth. The ratio is likely closer to 90/10, if not worse.

Simple example: A huge portion of the US population has no clue of the tragedy unfolding at the US/Mexico border.

Why?

Because the media is actively suppressing coverage. If they don’t talk about it, it doesn’t exist. Out of all the reporters in the White House briefing room, only one asks questions about this, and the answers are a study in political avoidance.

Did you know kids are being found dead on a regular basis? Drowned, dehydrated in the desert, etc. And, of course, girls are being molested, abused, raped and trafficked.

No, this didn’t come from Fox News. We watch the Hispanic new networks every morning. They are reporting some of this on a daily basis. Just a couple of days ago they found four little girls in the desert, one if them thought dead and later survived.

These events alone should be reason for mass demonstrations against the abject incompetence and callousness of current border policies. And yet, because of the overwhelming alignment of the media with the current ideological bend, the death and suffering continues.

Had this happened during the last four years you would have 24/7 coverage of the carnage, including live helicopter video of dead kids in the desert.

That’s how bad it is. This is precisely what the quoted portion of Solzhenitsyn‘s speech was referring to.

I understand his frustration. Having come from a place where military rule controlled it all, it is disheartening to see the US in the grips of ideology through a less centralized mechanism. This society is supposed to be “free” and yet people are afraid to speak up because their lives or livelihoods are at very real risk. This is sad to watch.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by licebmi__at__ on Saturday May 15, 2021 @01:28PM (#27167139)
Is this happening on a different scale? Because I have heard/read about this happening since I was a kid, and I meant hearing tales from my uncles who did cross the border illegally, and certainly don’t remember anything other than the rhetoric about kids in cages by liberals and the “build the wall” chants by conservatives during Trump’s administration.

I meant I could be wrong, but given the historical disinterest that the media has shown about the border drama, I would imagine this is more the same apathy than a concerted effort to suppress coverage, and I would in fact argue that the sudden interest by conservative media is only because this is something that can be blamed on Biden.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by robomartin on Saturday May 15, 2021 @09:13PM (#27170379)
I am not taking sides. As a descendant of genocide survivors I don’t care about sides, only life. What’s going on right now is way beyond kids in cages. It’s horrific. And, yes, it’s a lot worse that it has been in decades. I think we are at a run rate approximating 1.8 million a year. That’s just insane, particularly in an economy that is not creating 1.8 million extra jobs per year.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by licebmi__at__ on Sunday May 16, 2021 @01:15AM (#27171395)
I thought this was about the humanitarian catastrophe, not about economy or jobs, so my take is that US migration policy is not humanitarian with Biden, was not humanitarian with Trump, Obama and previous administrations; claiming that there’s a concerted effort to hide this now… well might be true, but I think it can be better explained with just a general apathy, after all, people were dying during Trump era like they are now, and as mention, while I remember a certain anti Trump rethoric, I don’t remember anti Trump media specially fixated on the worse part.

Migration is a complicated business, and I definitely agree that uncontrolled migration can crash the economy. I don’t think conservative media cares about the border crisis more than just as a power grab.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by robomartin on Sunday May 16, 2021 @11:16AM (#27174252)
They are interconnected. If you promote uncontrolled migration and you get 1.8 million people per year, you have to create an additional 1.8 million jobs per year. If not, you are going to have 1.8 million additional unemployed per year. Or, even worse, 1.8 million people working illegally for way below minimum wage being abused and, effectively, living in serfdom without possibility of escape due to both their legal status and the fact that we are not creating enough excess jobs to support such an influx. This is how the economy and jobs turns into an invisible humanitarian catastrophe.

If I remember correctly, last jobs report we created somewhere in the order of 250K jobs. The expectation was in the order of one million. That did not happen. We have somewhere in the order of ten million people unemployed. Do we really want to add another million or two per year through uncontrolled migration.

The principle is very simple. Under ideal conditions, if we want to allow N million people to come into the country (legally or not) we ought to have N million jobs waiting for them. If we cannot generate jobs IN EXCESS of our baseline, we should cut down on migration (legal or not). If we don't, all we are doing is adding unemployed without controls. Aside from the fact that they will require assistance we just can't provide, this isn't a formula for long term success.

When my parents emigrated to the US they went through a series of interviews at the US embassy and had to prove they would not be a burden to US taxpayers for five years. Like it or not, that's the way a country manages immigration responsibly. Yes, of course, you make some allocations for those who need help. That's just being nice people. However, you can't have 50% of your immigration come in without sensible controls. This is the very definition of insanity: You are importing unemployment, which can't lead to anything good in the long term for both the people coming in and the nation.

Please note that I am not injecting Democrat vs. Republican analysis here. You can do this purely by the data and with some common sense peppered into it. The US immigration system currently accepts about 675K people per year into the country legally [0].

Is this number too low? We could explore this argument. What metric do we use? In other words, other than "feelings", how do we objectively assess how many people per year a country --any country-- can or should accept?

The easiest argument to make is: People who can come in and make a substantial job-creating investment should be allowed in because this expands the jobs marketplace. Of course, we have to make sure the investment is actually going to create jobs. Someone coming in to buy ten million dollars of properties isn't going to create a single job. Those properties already exist and all the trades servicing them are working on them. No new jobs.

Beyond that, I think you have to look at the employment situation and see where the country might have gaps. This would change from year to year. For a period you might need doctors, welders, engineers or farm workers. Fine, have legal immigration policy reflect that.

Again, I am talking about ANY country on earth, not the US. This removes the bothersome Democrat vs. Republican arguments. Responsible immigration policy should look after both the nation and immigrants in order to ensure that immigration does not become a burden for one and a tragedy for the other.

Of course you have to allow some number of people to migrate on humanitarian basis. That's just being nice people. It can't be millions though. That's just a sad reality of the equation any nation faces.

And so, as one goes through this analysis, one never encounters a "let's allow millions of people per year into the country without controls". And that is because this makes no sense whatsoever for any nation on earth.

What I find interesting is that nobody argues with the immigration rules of countries like New Zealand or pretty much any other nation in the world. I mention New Zealand because I have a friend who moved there. They had to go through a points-based system and all the legalities to get in. And they did. The funny part is that they did not object to that system at all and actually thought it was sensible. And yet, with the other side of their face, when it comes to the US, they are full-on open borders supporters. I have to admit I don't understand this at all.

Love or hate Trump, his strong southern border illegal immigration position was the correct one for a nation that IS NOT CREATING EXCESS JOBS. We are on a fight for survival. More and more industries and jobs are being eroded by China and other global competitors. Sorry, we just can't have millions of people come in without controls. It makes no sense for the nation or those coming in.

We can't use past examples (50+ years ago) of illegal immigration as a metric to justify what's going on today. Why? Because of the thing I have been repeating: We are not creating jobs in excess. Back then things were very different. China was an agrarian economy. Today they are the second largest economy in the world, are landing drones on Mars and are sucking jobs from every nation in the world. Fifty years ago we were exploding with jobs and growth. Today we are shrinking, and, sadly, it is likely to get worse.

I don't know how to solve this equation without saying that illegal immigration at the current scale is nothing less than insanity.

[0] https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/how-unit...

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by licebmi__at__ on Monday May 17, 2021 @02:01PM (#27186215)
Look, I fully agree with you, and I also don’t care about Republican/Democrat drama, as I’m not even American.

My point is that on the other side of the border, I fail to see this “open border policy”. If I wanted to migrate to America (which I don’t), I would have to go through the same as your parents, my friends who applied for a Work visa, had to go through the same stuff. Just a few weeks ago, a friend of mine who is a lawyer, who has his own practice and earns a decent amount of money, got his tourist visa denied at the embassy. The legal way is already hard, those who I know nowdays who are illegally, entered legally because crossing the border is deemed too dangerous and only for desperate people.

So you think the amount of people America can house is lower than current immigration, well I don’t have the numbers but I don’t disagree with you. The thing is migrants on the southern border are already risking death. A couple of more border patrol officers might do a nice anti immigration rhetoric, but I don’t really think it’s discouraging enough, and still doesn’t address the problem of people overstaying their visa. So in my eyes, this policies, the critics of “promoting uncontrolled immigration”, and the concern about the humanitarian crisis on the border is more a political argument than something that really address the immigration problem, something that -I might need to reiterate- I agree that should be controlled.

Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by watwut on Saturday May 15, 2021 @09:05AM (#27164836)
Solzhinitsyn is fairly authoritarian and pro-Putin. It is odd too talk about him as if he would be pro freedom and free speach. He is not.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by lawnchair_larry on Saturday May 15, 2021 @01:46PM (#27167306)
HN is definitely not an exception.
Re:Nobel archives reveal judges’ safety fears for Aleksandr ... by user-the-name on Saturday May 15, 2021 @02:37PM (#27167730)
HN is very much a very close-minded bubble with very strongly held, specific and quite weird ideologies that you are definitely not allowed to break.

It is far more insular than most social media.