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A comment on The Time Everyone “Corrected” the World’s Smartest Woman (2015). Parent comment
If you decide before not to switch then your goal is to pick the car which you have a 1/3 chance to do.
If you decide before to switch then your goal is to pick a goat which you have a 2/3 chance to do.
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If you decide before not to switch then your goal is to pick the car which you have a 1/3 chance to do.
If you decide before to switch then your goal is to pick a goat which you have a 2/3 chance to do.