Re:Estimation of total mortality due to COVID-19
by whimsicalism on Friday May 07, 2021 @02:59PM
(#27079567)
I would generally expect non-covid deaths to be down as is indicated by correlations between mortality and economic decline, the fact that suicides haven't trended substantially upwards, and the fact that cars are off the road.
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Re:Estimation of total mortality due to COVID-19
by tshaddox on Friday May 07, 2021 @03:11PM
(#27079751)
There are around 30,000 to 35,000 car deaths per year in the US over the last ten years, and around 35,000 to 45,000 deaths from suicide. Those are terrible number sin absolute terms, of course, but even if those went to 0 for a year during the pandemic, that’s still less than 15% of the deaths currently attributed to COVID-19 in the US.
Re:Estimation of total mortality due to COVID-19
by maxfurman on Friday May 07, 2021 @03:05PM
(#27079672)
I saw an article to the effect that car-related deaths are up because, since there are fewer cars on the road, the drivers who are left drive faster and/or more recklessly and get in more accidents. So, as with everything in this pandemic, it's complicated...
Re:Estimation of total mortality due to COVID-19
by lamontcg on Friday May 07, 2021 @04:14PM
(#27080371)
Yeah I was struck by how fucking insane people got on the roads shortly after the pandemic struck.
You'd think people would chill out because the roads were practically empty, but I guess pandemic stress combined with the immediate rage of "the roads are empty and this asshole camper is only doing 75 mph in left lane" leading to absolute lunacy at very high speeds.
Normal levels of rush hour traffic around here mean nobody can do more than 50 mph at best with an average speed closer to 35, which probably keeps the deaths down.
Re:Estimation of total mortality due to COVID-19
by whimsicalism on Friday May 07, 2021 @03:55PM
(#27080201)
Interesting. So scratch the bit about cars.
Doesn't honestly surprise me that much , I was driving up i95 in late March and people were pulling some really crazy shit in the early pandemic. I also saw a few (looked deadly to me) wrecks on the highway.