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A comment on Stock Market Returns Are Anything but Average. Parent comment

Re:Stock Market Returns Are Anything but Average by caturopath on Friday April 30, 2021 @10:13AM (#26993716)
The S&P had one 22-year drawdown in its history, the Great Depression. Second place was 4 years.

If people planned to contribute once in their life, the risk of buying the top before a long drawdown would be relevant.

Most people spend decades of their life buying investments. Even folks with bad luck seldom buy the absolute top -- positions acquired a couple months before are out of the drawdown that much sooner.

No backtest of typical investment patterns is going to see any 15-year net losses in the S&P's history.

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Re:Stock Market Returns Are Anything but Average by kgwgk on Friday April 30, 2021 @01:09PM (#26996197)
> Second place was 4 years.

What about mid-2000 to late-2006?

And that's in nominal terms, because it underperformed cash from mid-2000 to mid-2013 (and quite longer against bonds).

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Re:Stock Market Returns Are Anything but Average by caturopath on Friday April 30, 2021 @02:35PM (#26997465)
Ugh, I looked at the wrong column in https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/5/20/saupload_d... and didn't sanity check the results. Sorry for my sloppiness and misinformation.
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