Re:US agencies call for pause in Johnson & Johnson vaccine
by necovek on Wednesday April 14, 2021 @02:48AM
(#26803782)
We never really exposed general population of under 34s to unmitigated coronavirus (perhaps March/April 2020 in USA or Sweden in 2020 is closest we got to it), but even that is uncontrolled for people deciding to reduce exposure to other people on their own.
"10000 less likely" was derived from 1 in 6 million compared to a global death rate of roughly 2%, then allowing for roughly an order of magnitude error: not scientific at all, I agree.
Taking your numbers as undisputable while not acknowledging that they are as uncertain as "the other side" is a bit dishonest in my opinion.
Re:US agencies call for pause in Johnson & Johnson vaccine
by srj on Wednesday April 14, 2021 @09:31AM
(#26806811)
Accepting your stats here, but what about consequences other than death? A friend in their late 30s just had to relearn how to walk and was in a coma for weeks after getting COVID. Months later he still isn't able to work full time.
No source.
Also statistically unknowable at this point. But a 34 and under year old already has less than a 1 in 100K chance of dying from Covid. That is to say, an under 34 year old is more likely to die of murder than die of Covid. Anywhere from 4-10x more likely in the U.S. depending on the city.
https://www.cdc.gov/injury/wisqars/pdf/leading_causes_of_dea...