Side effect worry grows for AstraZeneca vaccine

Re:Side effect worry grows for AstraZeneca vaccine by raphlinus on Sunday April 04, 2021 @03:55PM (#26692353)

I recommend the Meyerowitz-Katz and Merone survey of IFR [1] over Ioannidis. The tl;dr is an IFR estimate 0.68%. Consensus in the epidemiology community is that Ioannidis has become a politicized hack, consistently pushing lowball estimates.

Of course, your argument is still valid even with the lower estimate, I just think it becomes more complicated. Unfortunately, this case is quite a bit more complicated because COVID fatalities are heavily weighted to older ages, while this purported VIPIT is appearing largely in younger, otherwise healthy people.

[1]: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v...

[2]: https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/what-the-heck-happened-to-j...

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Re:Side effect worry grows for AstraZeneca vaccine by daanlo on Sunday April 04, 2021 @04:21PM (#26692541)

Thank you. Very interesting read. I have never understood some of the low IFR estimates. If you look e.g. at numbers for New York State. They have had 50.905 covid related deaths (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/) and roughly 20.000.000 inhabitants. That sets a pretty clear lower boundary on IFR of 0.0025. And clearly not everyone in New York State has had covid.

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Re:Side effect worry grows for AstraZeneca vaccine by toolz on Monday April 05, 2021 @12:59PM (#26701540)

picking one of the hardest hit areas in the world doesn't set a lower boundary on IFR.

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Re:Side effect worry grows for AstraZeneca vaccine by Gibbon1 on Sunday April 04, 2021 @06:04PM (#26693237)

> The tl;dr is an IFR estimate 0.68%

What's funny, not amusing is the Chinese said they thought the IFR was about 0.7% back in Feb 2020. Lots of people decided to not believe that for reasons. But here we are. And yet people still refuse. For 'reasons'

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