If you get infected, or did you account for the risk of getting covid in the first place ?
And with all that COVID has easily identifiable risk factors that impact the probability of severe outcome by order of magnitude, do vaccine side effects have comparable risk predictors ?
So, from where I'm standing, if you're young, healthy and able to avoid high risk COVID areas you're much better off skipping vaccination till they figure out the risk factors or vaccinate enough higher risk groups that it's no longer an issue.
[1] https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1376304539897237508 [2] https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/137593538213983437...
Also, fwiw I followed antibody testing studies for the better part of a year and anything over 0.004 IFR was rare. I was surprised to see it as low as 0.0014 from this review expecting close to 0.002-0.003 but 0.0068 is incredibly high.
Ioannidis published something extremely controversial (if not even flawed) and one of the main authors he attacked responded with a lengthy explanation so that this manuscript would not remain unchallenged. I found that aspect way more important than the venue of response. Would you prefer to leave Ioannidis' work unchallenged for potentially months instead?
edit: do you recall the paper that made waves in the U.S. claiming covid causes heart damage? That paper was published and editted prior to peer review based on criticism multiple times within a week or two IIRC - the appropriate way to handle conflict in science isn't by trying to get twitter to chime in and make things personal. Ioannidis "attacks" were unprofessional - in my mind, though, they were absolutely not on the level of trying to call out an author on twitter.
Of course, your argument is still valid even with the lower estimate, I just think it becomes more complicated. Unfortunately, this case is quite a bit more complicated because COVID fatalities are heavily weighted to older ages, while this purported VIPIT is appearing largely in younger, otherwise healthy people.
[1]: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v...
[2]: https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/what-the-heck-happened-to-j...
What's funny, not amusing is the Chinese said they thought the IFR was about 0.7% back in Feb 2020. Lots of people decided to not believe that for reasons. But here we are. And yet people still refuse. For 'reasons'
Unfortunately I'm not expecting much calm rational debate on the nuances of getting the vaccine. This whole pandemic has felt like an emotional rollercoast void of logic.
(and please don't take my vaccine numbers as an authoritative risk assessment - there's a lot that goes into assessing such a number and I don't want to sound like I'm confident those numbers are correct)