Re:Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded...
by arwineap on Monday March 29, 2021 @11:24AM
(#26623129)
I don't think they had a previous sprint's velocity to base their estimates on; this was unprecedented.
And honestly, had the ship still been stuck on wed, tide would not be as high for another moon cycle; further complicating.
Re:Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded...
by goodcanadian on Monday March 29, 2021 @11:40AM
(#26623424)
I am not sure the projections were unrealistic. The full picture simply wasn't known or even knowable. The best likely scenario with the known information was a few hours; the worst likely scenario was weeks.
Re:Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded...
by Johnny555 on Monday March 29, 2021 @11:42PM
(#26631056)
it was reported that it could take weeks to reopen the passage
That's true - it could have taken weeks and the cost of spoiled or delayed cargo could have reached billions.
After a day of tugs unsuccessfully trying to free the ship, there was no reason to assume it would be a fast recovery.
But the same news that said "it could take weeks" also reported on the ongoing efforts.
Early on it was reported that it could take weeks to reopen the passage, with a cost of billions to the world trade. Now, just one week later it's open again, barely enough time to make the alternate route a good idea.
These rather unrealistic projections seem to have started with the Coronavirus reporting and is an interesting phenomenon in itself.