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A comment on Earth may be headed into a mini Ice Age within a decade. Parent comment

Re:Earth may be headed into a mini Ice Age within a decade by Jach on Tuesday June 14, 2011 @05:51PM (#2654934)
In this case, it is! The GP is using a uniform prior assigning "equally good chance" to either outcome (good or bad). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prior_probability

Of course stopping there seems to be silly since I'm sure more informed people have evidence that can shift that probability one way or the other.

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