Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by dirtyid on Monday March 08, 2021 @03:15AM
(#26383326)
PRC-ROC is unfinished civil war with a literal countdown timer (2049). Reality is reunification with Taiwan is the ultimate political get-out-jail-free card for any Chinese leadership. It doesn't matter if PRC is democratic or authoritarian, taking Taiwan will supersede and overshadow any large domestic issue that could undermine legitimacy. And PRC will face many in the coming years. If she successfully negotiates them, then missing the 2049 deadline itself will be overwhelming issue determining legitimacy. PRC moving on Taiwan is inevitable, even the mildest forceful reunion option (quarantine) could lead to total-war because that's just how escalation spirals.
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Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by _cs2017_ on Thursday March 18, 2021 @01:06AM
(#26499833)
This type of "deadline" to invade Taiwan has been "discovered" repeatedly. For example, look at this article from 2017/10/05 in https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3268316:
"According to a book published on Tuesday titled "The Chinese Invasion Threat" by Project 2049 think tank fellow Ian Easton, Beijing has finalized a secret plan to invade Taiwan by 2020, according to classified documents from the Chinese military obtained by the author, reported the Washington Free Beacon."
Much as I love Taiwan, let's not pretend this is anything other than propaganda. Only goes to show that bullshit can be produced by pro-Taiwan analysts just as well as by pro-Beijing analysts.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by wbsun on Monday March 08, 2021 @12:58PM
(#26389089)
Why 2049 is a deadline? Mind elaborating? I don't think there is any agreement on when a reunion must happen.
Re:US-China War over Taiwan: All Measures Short of a Cross S...
by dirtyid on Monday March 08, 2021 @07:19PM
(#26393544)
Centennial anniversary of founding of PRC. 2049 has been been implied as the latest deadline in enough official political communications over decades that reunification by then is a matter of legitimacy, especially on subjects like sovereignty that CCP is firm on.