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Re:When Everyone’s a Genius: A Few Thoughts on Speculation by quickthrowman on Thursday February 25, 2021 @02:29PM (#26267080)
Ok, enjoy your treasuries, I’ll stick with dollar-cost averaging S&P 500. I’m sure your valuation models are better than Wall Street.

Hope the treasury yields moving up don’t wreck you, if yields move N%, then bond values move (N*years remaining)% down. Disregard if you buy individual bonds and hold until redemption.

Re:When Everyone’s a Genius: A Few Thoughts on Speculation by jdmoreira on Thursday February 25, 2021 @03:52PM (#26268138)
That’s great and all. S&P 500 is a great passive investment. Just keep buying every month whatever the price for long enough and you will most likely hit 10% a year on average.

The problem is that you could lose money for 10 years. 1970-80.

Mindless buying S&P 500 is great but you might want to do better. Most people will do worse if they try to beat the index but some people will do 20% a year for as long as they keep buying good businesses at good prices.