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Re:Ercot nearly at capacity for Texas power grid by roenxi on Monday February 15, 2021 @01:13AM (#26139661)
It'll be interesting, when the dust settles, to see how this event squares away with the regulator's risk modelling. My initial impression is there is a correlation between extreme power demand and renewable energy being unavailable that would not have been present for a nuclear or fossil fuel based system.
Re:Ercot nearly at capacity for Texas power grid by eigenvector on Monday February 15, 2021 @02:09AM (#26139985)
ERCOT is pretty good about releasing their event analysis after the fact.

I think the main issue with renewables is not inherent unreliability but that grid operators do not understand the potential contingencies as well as with conventional generation sources.

SPP has put out some good analyzes of recent max generation events there involving large amounts of wind being unavailable in cold snaps. It turns out no one at SPP bothered to ask wind turbine owners what temperatures they were capable of operating in and some wind operators didn't buy the cold weather package for turbines despite installing them in the Midwest. So generation availability forecasting didn't take into account the real capabilities of generators - a clear failure in operational planning.

This is more of a regulatory issue than a technical one. The machines can operate at -40 C, but someone has to actually spec that functionality and ensure that the associated subcomponents (heaters etc) are properly maintained.

There is a new NERC reliability standard in the drafting stage for this.

Re:Ercot nearly at capacity for Texas power grid by a9h74j on Monday February 15, 2021 @06:03AM (#26141535)
Somewhat off topic, but are regulators also considering mandating Basalt rebar in wind tower foundations, prohibiting steel rebar?

I don't know what the re-use story is for foundation plus tower, but it seems to me a bad idea to start with the assumption of rusting out the foundations.

Re:Ercot nearly at capacity for Texas power grid by eigenvector on Monday February 15, 2021 @08:29PM (#26149919)
I haven't heard of that here in North America, but I'll add that I'm not up to speed on global developments.

In general, wind turbine foundations are considered to have a fixed lifespan of 25-30 years. If re-powering occurs at end of life, it may be with a larger turbine that requires a new foundation anyway, so not much thought is given to foundation re-use.