I don't think OP stated which jobs are important or unimportant. There is some interesting research regarding this issue. I'm paid 6 figures, and the case for my job wouldn't stand up to a lot of scrutiny. There is an entire team of me.
Some of those people will play video games all day, some will create new tech, some will create art... and as you say, no one is in a position to judge which of those are "productive". It's just important to free people from the need to enrich others just to survive.
Before I criticize, in full disclosure: I support UBI experiments. I have my concerns, but until we have data they’re just theory.
That out of the way: I don’t think it’s wildly out of line to assume a social contract that you need to provide some value to society to get access to resources (food / shelter / etc.) created by others. If I’m making food from a farm, you can’t just get food from me by existing, you need to offer something of value: working on my farm (services,) or exchanging goods I want to use, like better equipment. Or you give me money so that I can access those other two things.
And at the end of the day, we still need janitors, waste management, customer support callers, etc etc - jobs people hate, but must be done. And they will continue to be done regardless of UBI.
Also, I'm not advocating for the complete erasure of private jobs and enterprise. Just that base level needs be met for all. You're free to take a customer support job if you want more money or it's your passion.
Why do you think this? I really have no clue how it will turn out. However thinking logically about it I think a great many good things are done every day BECAUSE of the need for survival in one sense or another.
Open source is a great example of this, if software engineers were struggling to put a roof over their heads and food on the table do you think we'd have the level of open source ecosystem we have today? The very fact we're both paid enough and have enough free time to contribute to that work has had produced great benefits for society. The goal of UBI is simply to extend that same freedom to everyone.
Not everyone will contribute back, but we'd free up a lot of people to create art, businesses, software etc. that would otherwise have been behind a fast food counter or stuck in an office.
I've seen it dozen of times in my social circle and even with myself. A job provides perspective and can show you that you are truly worth something before you even believe it yourself. I'm quite certain that I and many of my peers would still play CS and whatever the current MMO is all day if I was never forced to get a job.
People feeling worthless for not having a job is entirely down to society telling them that they're worthless if they don't have a job. This is exacerbated by the fact that not having having a job currently adds a great deal of stress by putting you in a position where you're highly likely to lose food and shelter.
> I don't think most people would ever get as far as being able to create anything worthwhile without a job forcing them to work. It's easy to see in young people who haven't found the right job. They waste their lives plating video games or netflixing all day. Without to pressure to do anything no open source developer will be born out of this. No artist will emerge. They will Just stay in their comfy situation.
I think you're vastly underestimating how creative most people can be and I find the fact that you believe the only path to self worth is by selling your labour to someone else very sad. There are plenty of people with ambition to create out there that are instead busy flipping burgers. The current work oriented approach does a really good job of suppressing the expression of that creativity, but it still doesn't manage to get rid of it. There are millions of artists, musicians, and hobbyists churning out bland corporate shite instead of the work they'd rather be doing and we'd be better off if they were free to pursue that instead.
Of course not everyone would immediately go out and start contributing new things, but I don't see how you can imply it wouldn't lead to a great number of more people doing so.
There's nothing wrong with playing MMOs all day if that's what you want to do. In fact, you'd be providing social currency for the developer who created it, motivating them to create more art.
Also, don't forget that most people will still want to attract a mate, which is more of a positive motivation that trying not to starve to death.
There is nothing wrong with playing video games all day. Except that in general it doesn't truly make people happy. I would say its a local maximum.
Attracting a mate is allready too hard for many people right now. Going jobless and ensuring a lot of people will never find a reason to belong will probably that issue only worse.
Alleviating the threat of death due to unemployment is going to be a positive for most people.
That's not what UBI is about.
I think that’s where we’re at as a species. We should be able to provide baseline survival to all.
Ok let's think this through. I deserve potatoes but I hate my job picking potatoes so I quit. And so does everyone around me.
Where do we get the free potatoes we are entitled to?
The question is what happens when they don't want to work either - from where do we get potatoes?
Automation is inevitable, hence why UBI is necessary. UBI also doesn't mean that people can't get paid for work. It just means they don't die if they don't have a job.
Today before we have potato robots. If I don't want to pick potatoes and neither does anyone else, from where do we get potatoes?
I suspect you can't answer this because the answer is we both starve to death.
Again that's temporary though as automation will happen, which you seem to not believe? It doesn't seem like rocket science to pick a potato. Self-driving cars seem like a much more difficult challenge.
Oh I see.
I can get $X without working and that should suffice to buy potatoes.
You are willing to pick potatoes but you need to get paid more than $X now (cuz you can get that free.) You'll pick potatoes for $2X.
Now potatoes cost $2X. I can't afford them with my $X UBI. Now what?
Providing potatoes to people is some real low hanging fruit. In fact it seems like a great thing to pair with UBI.
So let's go back.
Today:
We both pick potatoes. A day's worth of potatoes costs $X UBI pays $X I decide, fuck work - I'll eat free potatoes.
Tomorrow: You say - I can get $X for free, so I need "more than $X" to keep picking potatoes. Now potatoes cost "more than $X" because of labor cost. You can't buy potatoes with your $X UBI.
>> "potatoes .. is some real low hanging fruit."
At least that much we can agree on.
> I can get $X for free, so I need "more than $X" to keep picking potatoes. Now potatoes cost "more than $X" because of labor cost. You can't buy potatoes with your $X UBI.
Why do you need more than $X to do the same job? Anything you get paid with be on top of UBI. People picking potatoes today are hardly living the life of luxury, pay their basic needs and they'll most likely just keep doing their same job and spending that extra money on stuff one level above survival.
This is the frustrating circular logic here...someone HAS to pick the potatoes! They don’t just show up magically, and you can’t just extrapolate and say that robots will handle all production of basic resources for an entire massive populace.
Normally, socialist economies get around this problem by some combination of slavery, extremely high taxation, forced labor (I.e. not enough farmers - so I’m going to force you to farm regardless of your desired occupation) and/or starvation. Clearly none of those are ideal.
What happens to you today if you don't farm? Starvation and/or homelessness.
I'm not suggesting socialism (as a first step). Like I said, people who are currently doing these jobs, will most likely continue to do them. It's just an upgraded base level of living for all and no one has to starve.
I think you're forgetting half the equation...with the possible exception of telemarketing, those jobs go quite a bit beyond mere survival in terms of pay.
People will still take those kinds of jobs because the value they get from pay. And that's fine.
People value their free time and that's fine too. But I think it's not realistic to think that people in general value their free time so much that if they have enough for survival that they wouldn't take jobs that exchange hard currency for that time.
What some combination of UBI/Basic Needs welfare will do, though, is prevent survival from weighing down that choice so people will demand more hard currency than they actually value that time without the infinite value sink of avoiding pain or death.
I know plenty of well off people that don't have to worry too much about affording to survive who spend a lot of time working hard and it's perfectly rational considering that they consider themselves better off with the trade.
It might also allow people to take jobs that are currently not done because they have low status or are simply regarded as uninteresting by employers.
I can easily imagine someone being willing to be a street cleaner if they had enough leverage to ensure that it was not a grindingly horrible job.
I'm really not interested in funding this personally. And if I received UBI I would definitely play video games all day.
While I agree about the prevalence of “bullshit jobs” in general, who are you to decide what jobs are “productive?” I wouldn’t trust any central authority to determine that, but rather the decentralized mechanisms that already exist in private enterprise / markets to determine that.