Re:FOSDEM 2021
by cyphar on Friday February 05, 2021 @11:22AM
(#26037959)
Case fatality (which is at 3%) is not the same as infection fatality. You cannot directly measure infection fatality until the pandemic is over (the best you have are estimates until then), so going with the case fatality rate (which has stayed around 3% for most of the pandemic) seems like a reasonable choice.
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How will you measure infection fatality after the pandemic is over? You will still need to know the number of infected (including the asymptomatic) before you can arrive at a meaningful number. Or do you mean that infection fatality can be calculated once you assume that 100% of the population has been exposed to the virus? IFR would still be based on assumptions, I think.