If naked short selling is restricted to short term trades in special circumstances (as it is now), the system still functions and market makers have a little more freedom to create liquidity (whether the liquidity is worth the other issues is a question I won't try to answer here). Allow unrestricted naked shorting though, and the next time you buy shares in msft, it could turn out that your investment depends on msft dividends paid by a hedge fund betting on cattle futures more than it depends on microsoft's financial performance.
Naked short system is potentially very disruptive (like we are currently experiencing with GME), is essentially a tool for entities with large capital to synthetically induce bankruptcy earlier than necessary, and poses systemic risks. There is a reason there are regulations that attempt to guard against it.
See: Dark Side of the Looking Glass, a 9-part lecture on the same. Part 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpWzOjB8qtU
All short sellers can do is reveal pre-existing flaws In the company. Which is why the presence of short sellers reduces corporate fraud
So can negative press coverage. And yes, either can prevent a company that is on the brink from staving off bankruptcy. It's questionable whether you ought to call the press coverage the cause of the problems, though, and the same objection applies to the shorting.
Wouldn't you want to know if what you bought are actually, say, AAPL shares or "synthetic shares"?
An AAPL share will always be worth an AAPL share. What can you say about those "synthetic shares"?
The biggest asterisk is hand waving away the credit worthiness of the synthetic issuer. But this is a solved problem. We have plenty of derivative markets, where a counterparty guarantees some cash flow related to an underlying security. You just use central clearing houses and set reasonable margin. Nobody worries about whether their options will actually payoff or if their futures contract will default.
No, the stream of dividends doesn't have identical value.
There are other relevant corporate actions.
Shares can vote, your stream of dividends cannot vote.
If the company spins-off a segment it may distribute shares of the new company to shareholders while the owners of that third-party stream of dividends won't get anything.
If someone wants to acquire the company they will make an offer to buy outstanding shares, they won't care at all about those syntethic streams of dividends.
In general, if you want to sell a delta-one derivative that's fine. But you cannot sell that to someone who wants to buy a stock!
Would you want to be delivered a derivative when you bought a share in the market?
That wouldn't be shorting the stock, it would be selling something else. Related but far from identical.
> If the company spins-off a segment
A spinoff is just a divided in the form of stock in the new segment. This is easy to handle. The short is now simply short both one share of the original and one share of the spinoff. The long now owns synthetic shares in both.
> If someone wants to acquire the company
An acquisition is just a one-time terminal dividend to the company. In a cash acquisition the short owes the long the value paid for the stock. In a stock acquisition the short is now short the equivalent shares of the acquiring company.
> Shares can vote, your stream of dividends cannot vote.
This is the biggest wrinkle. But it basically still exists even in the current system. If a stock has short interest of 50%, then there's 150 shares held long for every 100 shares of float. In practice it's not really that big a deal because 99% of investors just vote the proxy.
At voting time, some investors will find they own synthetics and some will find they own originals. Just the same as today some will find their stocks on loan, and they can't vote. It doesn't really seem to make a difference.
IMO I think a requirement for public listing should be letting all beneficial owners, including those who own synthetic shares/have shares on loan. I think if anything it strengthens corporate governance, by avoiding voting rights shenanigans. The two classes have equal interest in setting the company perform well.
Sure, you can write a contract detailing all the possibilities. Maybe even get those derivatives listed.
But you could be doing that already!
I'm not sure what are you proposing that should replace "the current system".
Do you suggest that when you buy a share of J&J or whatever, and pay the price of a share of J&J, you may find later that what you got is a derivative product issued by "I can't believe it's not stock! Ltd"?
In the "current system" there is no problem at all. Those who lent out their shares cannot vote.
This is simply not true at all. Like anything that can be bought and sold shares derive their value from supply and demand.
[1]https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-6261.... [2]https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/jofi.12369 [3]https://academic.oup.com/rfs/article-abstract/26/2/287/15819...
If irrational investors are being driven out why is there an evident trend of increasingly irrational stock prices over time?
The real world is not a special case.
Would the previous majority shareholder group lose their majority even if they had sold no shares?
Or would the new majority shareholders have no decision making power even though they have more "shares"?
This can be used to get more votes by borrowing stocks just to hold and vote.
But I'm asking in the case of naked short, which is what is being defended as "superior system" in this thread.
Whether a long is synthetic/borrowed or primary, their interests are aligned. They both want the company to do as well as possible. It also avoids voting rights shenanigans that exist, even with the current borrow-to-short system. At the very least it seems extending voting rights to synthetic longs won't ipso facto make corporate governance worse. I see no obvious downsides. And the academic evidence shows that removing constraints to short sales makes corporate governance significantly better.
The point of a naked short system is that short sellers never need to cover their positions.
Naked shorting allows any credit worthy institution to create synthetic shares as long as they continue to pay the dividends. That’s what makes it IMO a superior system. It eliminates the disruptive problem of short squeezes. Shorts can never get recalled, because they’re simply synthetic cash flow streams.
Overall we want more short selling in the market, and therefore want to remove as many constraints to short selling as possible. Short selling improves price efficiency[1], increases liquidity[2], reduces corporate fraud[3], and helps protect against speculative bubbles[4]
[1] https://academic.oup.com/rfs/article-abstract/24/3/821/15904... [2] https://img.iex.nl/iexprofs/images/2008-12-01ResearchEvidenc... [3] https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/jofi.12369 [4] https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-6261....