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Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by josephg on Sunday January 31, 2021 @04:07AM (#25977315)
Just because she's not an island, Canada can still close her borders. I'm sure it'll be inconvenient, but short and sharp beats long and drawn out.
Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by baxtr on Sunday January 31, 2021 @04:09AM (#25977325)
Yes I agree. Canada has a long border but just with one country. So think it’s in a good position. It’s way more difficult for a European country for example.
Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by threeseed on Sunday January 31, 2021 @04:22AM (#25977393)
It's not that difficult for most European countries.

People are going to be crossing borders at relatively few and well understood locations.

And they could've simply imposed large fines for anyone who tried to sneak through.

Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by baxtr on Sunday January 31, 2021 @04:28AM (#25977434)
You obviously don’t live in mainland Europe. I can easily cross borders in a small village, on a field, through a forest. There are no fences. Sometimes you don’t even have a line.

It’s a bit like saying New York should close its borders with Pennsylvania

Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by icelancer on Sunday January 31, 2021 @04:35AM (#25977476)
>> Canada can still close her borders

This was already done and the infection rates are still sky high.

Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by josephg on Sunday January 31, 2021 @05:31AM (#25977759)
With closed borders, Canada is basically an island like Australia, NZ and the UK.

Lots of posters here seem convinced that being an island makes it easy to control covid. If thats the most important factor, I'd love to hear some theories on why the numbers in canada aren't coming down to 0, like they have in Australia and NZ?

Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by Ekaros on Sunday January 31, 2021 @06:59AM (#25978188)
Key detail here is likely that it should have been done early enough. Once the virus is inside it is very hard to contain. Specially when asymptomatic carrier are common. Chain of them can keep virus alive and spreading for weeks or months.
Re:The Virus Changed. Now We Must ‘Get to Zero’ or Face Cata... by josephg on Sunday January 31, 2021 @07:45AM (#25978397)
Yeah its much easier to do before the numbers spike. Some analysis I heard recently said if you do a lockdown, delaying by 1 day at the outset leads to locking down a whole extra week at the other end.

The numbers are coming down (slowly) in Montreal now that they have a strict lockdown. I think the process could work; but at this point it might take so long to get the numbers under control that people wouldn't tolerate it. Especially not when the vaccine feels so close. We'd be talking like, 4 months in a row of strict lockdown + business closures.

The other aspect is contact tracing. When numbers are very low, its much easier to do diligent contact tracing around every infected person. In the recent outbreak in Sydney they tracked down and personally contacted everyone they could place in the vicinity of an infected person and asked them to self isolate. By the time a handful of those people tested positive, most of them had already been isolating and as a result didn't infect anyone - which broke the chain of transmission. We could do that because the number of new cases was only around ~10/day. That would be way less feasible at Montreal's 1600 cases/day.