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Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by throwaway803453 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:37PM (#25949642)
Given the hype, the most likely scenario is a > 2X price spike in the first few minutes of trading regardless of the initial market cap ($100B+?). For those of us who believe that, what is the best strategy for purchasing shares ? It's doubtful brokers will allow market orders the previous night since the ticker might not yet exist, and if one places a market order during the first few minutes the cynic in me predicts a retail trader will get the worst deal.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by svachalek on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:48PM (#25949804)
I think generally you can place an order before the market opens, maybe even the day before, but that doesn't really give you any pricing power. It will still pop at the open and your order may not clear until it does. But that may still put you ahead of the Robinhood masses.

Better option might be to try a pre-IPO trading platform like EquityZen.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by throwaway803453 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:27PM (#25950343)
From EquitZen's knowledge center:

"Shares that are the subject of investment through EquityZen are generally subject to a lock-up period of up to 180 days after the effectiveness of a company's IPO filing, during which time shareholders are restricted from selling their shares."[1]

The 180day lock-up period could EquityZen poorly suited for investors with a short time horizon.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by svachalek on Thursday January 28, 2021 @06:59PM (#25951349)
In this case though, Coinbase is doing a direct listing, not an IPO. I think there is usually no lockup associated with a direct listing.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by inadequatespace on Saturday January 30, 2021 @01:25PM (#25971482)
Er, PLTR still had a lockup for its direct listing. If this trend continues the “usually” aspect will not hold.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by jacobkranz on Thursday January 28, 2021 @07:52PM (#25952033)
Could you do what Mark Cuban did and work with your brokerage to do sell calls & buy puts around the strike? That would lock in your price for a given amount of time.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by findjashua on Thursday January 28, 2021 @11:55PM (#25954118)
should be the other way around - buy calls and sell puts.

that said, options usually are available a few days after the ipo, so may not accomplish the objective

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by adventured on Friday January 29, 2021 @01:17AM (#25954624)
If you had a sizable fortune at stake, you'd go to a major financial firm like Goldman Sachs, which handled the collar for Cuban, and they'll build you something custom. Almost any arrangement can be worked out, with a fat fee to go with it.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by sidlls on Thursday January 28, 2021 @07:21PM (#25951670)
That only applies to IPOs. In a direct listing the shares start trading at the published reference price. There is no underwriting or other ceremony around it.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by throwaway803453 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @08:22PM (#25952324)
For a direct listing, does that mean Coinbase could conceivably charge any price they want for a market order given they are the only seller when it is first listed ?
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by lmm on Thursday January 28, 2021 @09:37PM (#25953009)
Other existing shareholders can sell as well (there's no lockup), and I guess short sellers could sell immediately? But yeah issuing a market on open order for a new stock would be a "courageous" move (but IMO that's true of any market order - don't use a market order instead of a limit order unless you're genuinely willing to buy at $999 / sell at $0.01).
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by inadequatespace on Saturday January 30, 2021 @01:27PM (#25971499)
Could be a lockup still. There was for palantir.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by pmorici on Thursday January 28, 2021 @09:12PM (#25952762)
CB just did a private offering through Nasdaq private market formerly Second Market. Couldn’t figure out how to participate in that.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by jcliff on Monday February 01, 2021 @04:06PM (#25993963)
I believe you need to email [email protected]
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by throwaway3818 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @06:04PM (#25950816)
What you probably want is a snap to market order meaning that if you're buying, it will snap to the ask, selling, to the bid. I use snap mid orders, usually get decent fills without getting retail'ed.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by taurath on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:46PM (#25949782)
This is always how it works. Institutionals always get first dibs (and the middle, and the last)
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by harryh on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:47PM (#25950618)
Not with a direct listing.

Coinbase shares would be subject to an auction and the market for them will open at the price where supply meets demand.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by bluedevil2k on Thursday January 28, 2021 @06:39PM (#25951127)
Not entirely true - since people had to enter a single point on their demand curve as a price and quantity of shares (instead of their entire demand curve) the market clearing price was artificially low. Hence the price pop on day one. To think about it more in depth - assume I enter a bid of 100 shares at $100. If the market clearing price is $50, I’ll be awarded 100 shares at $50. However, I was willing to buy far more than that at a higher price, so I’d go buy more shares on the open market, driving the price up.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by Tinyyy on Friday January 29, 2021 @01:35AM (#25954712)
This is complete bullshit, you can enter your entire demand curve into the market with various bids.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by bluedevil2k on Friday January 29, 2021 @07:56AM (#25956747)
No, you’re wrong. You’re not taking a bidders budget into account. If I enter 20 points on my demand curve ans they’re all above the clearing price, I’ll end up being forced to buy the quantities of all my bids. That may totally bust my budget. There are no stop limit orders in these auctions...there’s only a buy order with a quantity and a price.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by harryh on Friday January 29, 2021 @08:19AM (#25956941)
If you are willing to by 100 shares at $100 or, say, 200 shares at $50 you can enter the following two bids:

100 shares at $100

100 shares at $50

This will satisfy your demand curve.

In a direct listing, the initially listed shares will all transact at the same price (the clearing price).

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by bluedevil2k on Friday January 29, 2021 @10:42AM (#25958378)
That’s a contrived example though. Say you put 200 shares at $50. If the clearing price is $50, you’ve won 300 shares at $50 - $15,000 total. What if you only have $10,000? I’m saying it’s difficult to a) allow bidders to enter a demand curve b) respect their budget limitations c) keep it easily understandable for bidders.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by harryh on Friday January 29, 2021 @12:05PM (#25959588)
Why would you put 200 shares at $50 and 100 shares at $100 if you only had a $10,000 budget? That's misrepresenting your actual demand curve.

Are you saying that an auction of this kind is a bit complicated, and it's possible to make a mistake? I suppose that might be true, but that is a very different assertion from your original position:

"since people had to enter a single point on their demand curve as a price and quantity of shares (instead of their entire demand curve)"

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by lmm on Thursday January 28, 2021 @09:40PM (#25953031)
You can issue your whole curve as orders, can't you? Something like: buy 50 shares limit $200 on open, buy 50 shares limit $100 on open, buy 100 shares limit $50 on open.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by bluedevil2k on Friday January 29, 2021 @07:57AM (#25956759)
There’s only buy orders in these auctions: buy X shares at Y price.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by lmm on Sunday January 31, 2021 @02:32AM (#25976917)
The limit is the price. With the "at open" I was thinking about direct listings where you'd need some way to prevent your order being filled after the opening auction (and potentially at a different price), but with an IPO that's not an issue at all. So you should definitely be able to just put your whole curve in.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by kortilla on Thursday January 28, 2021 @07:22PM (#25951686)
But the point is that everyone with a bid >=$50 got filled.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by solveit on Thursday January 28, 2021 @07:33PM (#25951834)
If I am willing to buy 100 shares at $100, I may be willing to buy 300 shares at $60. So just because my bid got filled doesn't mean I won't be buying more.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by harryh on Thursday January 28, 2021 @10:08PM (#25953274)
If you're willing to buy 300 shares at 60, but only 100 shares at $100 you can enter two bids:

100 shares at $100

200 shares at $60

This will satisfy your demand position.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by cbhl on Friday January 29, 2021 @02:58AM (#25955117)
If the person has only 18000 though (300 at 60) then if they put in 100 at $100, they'll only be able to buy 133 at 60.

I would still enter two bids; it's just a matter of adjusting how many at each level.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by harryh on Friday January 29, 2021 @07:49AM (#25956700)
No, this is not how it works.

All the shares in the auction are sold at the same price. If the market clears at 60, a person entering the bids I described would buy 300 shares at 60.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by cbhl on Friday January 29, 2021 @03:45PM (#25962269)
I apologize if I misunderstood. Isn't this a direct listing? At what point do retail investors get to participate in an auction?
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by harryh on Friday January 29, 2021 @04:30PM (#25962840)
Retail investors (and any other investors) submit orders before the new security begins to trade. The first thing that happens on open is an auction.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by dalbasal on Thursday January 28, 2021 @08:31PM (#25952432)
thanks. concise.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by throw4893043 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @10:26PM (#25953452)
Institutional investors still win the day here, because Coinbase opened a private secondary market for them this week to buy shares ahead of the IPO.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by hdespiritu on Friday January 29, 2021 @12:42AM (#25954436)
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by hntrader on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:12PM (#25950156)
After a new listing, retail can buy at the same instant as institutions, as long as the retail broker allows it, and many do.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by brainflake on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:46PM (#25950604)
Well not necessarily... didn't google use a dutch auction 15 years ago?
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by bluedevil2k on Thursday January 28, 2021 @06:36PM (#25951092)
No, a Dutch auction a single product with the price ticking down. They used an OpenIPO auction format.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by Triv888 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:53PM (#25949889)
Do you see anything wrong with that?
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by josht on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:56PM (#25949933)
Better question: Do you see anything right with that?
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by Triv888 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:05PM (#25950069)
I know that he was being sarcastic... hopefully that will mess up with the AI wannabes...
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by arcticbull on Thursday January 28, 2021 @06:05PM (#25950820)
I’m not sure there are big pops on OTC listings, as the pop on an institutional listing is the difference between what they sold shares at to raise money the previous night and what the market values them at in real life.

Since you’re not raising money in an OTC listing, trading should begin roughly at market price, no?

I could be wrong I don’t really play IPOs. Well, SPACs, haha.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by la6471 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:15PM (#25950200)
If a SPAC is floated to do this retail investors might still have a chance
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by nostrademons on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:42PM (#25950561)
The SPAC would have to convince Coinbase that it's in their interests to go public via reverse merger rather than direct listing. This seems pretty unlikely, given that they've already filed their S-1, announced the direct listing, and presumably have done all the paperwork related to being a public company.

There's a bit of an adverse-selection problem with SPACs: not only do they need to find an undervalued asset that the public markets will value for more than the acquisition price, they need to convince that asset that the SPAC adds value and can take them public easier than doing the process themselves would. Big tech companies like Coinbase, AirBnB, and Roblox have plenty of money to hire the lawyers, accountants, and investment bankers that going public themselves requires.

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by tutfbhuf on Friday January 29, 2021 @03:27AM (#25955259)
Either pre-IPO trading or wait until the dust settles and then decide whether to buy or not.
Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by kxxsc on Thursday January 28, 2021 @06:12PM (#25950886)
You can trade Coinbase shared pre-IPO on FTX (unfortunately, not available to US users). The stock trading infra seems weird but makes sense under the hood and is reliable (happy to answer any questions people have).

https://ftx.com/trade/CBSE/USD

(this was mostly informational, but if anyone actually decides to use the platform and wants to get 5% off trading fees, also happy to share a referral link)

Re:Coinbase announces proposed direct listing by simonebrunozzi on Friday January 29, 2021 @07:30AM (#25956563)
Do you work for FTX? If so, best way to contact you?