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Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by TameAntelope on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:43PM (#25825011)
I'm confused -- what did she do that "reached beyond her grasp" or "dramatized" the number of COVID-19 deaths in Florida?

Edit: You're all over this comment thread, what relationship do you have to this story, if any?

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:55PM (#25825149)
No relationship. Just bored on a day off. I am passionate about Covid related topics because I am frankly concerned by the rhetoric around Covid. It boggles my mind that this has become so politicized and opposition is equated with homicidal disregard for human life.

There is also so much sensationalism around Covid that it's impossible to actually discuss. Mask compliance for example. I've heard so many times that if only dumbfuck America would mask up we'd be sitting pretty. Except the US has some oh the highest mask compliance of western nations. People talk about anti-lockdown protests as being pawns for the far right and hating science, yet these protests are not unique to the US or the Right.

Essentially our response to a pandemic has devolved into people shouting memes at one another while 30 million unemployed are liking up at food banks. It's fucking crazy

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by TameAntelope on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:06PM (#25825275)
I think in this case, you're getting back what you put into the conversation. I've never been accused of disregarding human life, and I've had a bunch of conversations here and elsewhere about COVID-19 response.

It feels like you're in what I call a "contrarian headspace" where you believe you've discovered something that's under-reported or under-represented, and you've grabbed firmly onto that belief, riding it into every conversation you can. Here be dragons, especially on HN.

I think, to retain my own sanity, I'm going to bow out of this conversation, but I do suggest you take a good hard look at how your beliefs landed you on the same side as the system crushing Rebekah Jones. What they're doing to her is, regardless of legal technicality, problematic, and if you're not able to see that because of your feelings about COVID coverage, you're in some trouble.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:13PM (#25825353)
And likewise, you inability to see her as anything but a martyr against an oppressive system is informed by your tightly held belief that the government is for some reason downplaying Covid.

Oh is that not the case? Then don't attribute some armchair psychology to my motives. I in no way think I've "discovered" something underreported. I know full well that millions of people, from credentialed scientists to dumbfuck hillbillies see the same things I rail against.

I've been accused of disregarding human life for my views on Covid response. Which is funny as Covid has touched my family in painful ways.

Humans are complex beings, more so than your coined phrase captures. But I still love you! I hope someday we all can have a calm, reasonable discussion about epidemics. Because this will happen again, so we need to study our response here as much as possible

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by dang on Monday January 18, 2021 @04:10PM (#25826665)
Please stop posting flamewar comments to HN. What you've been doing on this site is over-the-top excessive and it's time to stop.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by kaitai on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:23PM (#25825452)
Wow, looks like free speech went here to die!

Police are raiding her house, pointing guns at her kids, continuing to come back with technically illiterate and nonsensical reasons to arrest her, because she's said something that someone in politics did not like. Why is this discussion even about covid? This is not an epidemic discussion, this is a political liberties discussion.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by dang on Monday January 18, 2021 @04:12PM (#25826682)
Please don't perpetuate flamewars on HN, regardless of how wrong someone else is or you feel they are. It's not what this site is for and the guidelines ask everyone not to do it:

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by SpicyLemonZest on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:32PM (#25825576)
The discussion is about covid because that's the only factor informing people's opinions on the matter. If we didn't know anything about her Covid work - if the only information we had was that some random government ex-employee was arrested for allegedly misusing government credentials - nobody would presume to know what the full story is or what's motivating the prosecution.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:38PM (#25825645)
Beyond your nonsense about free speech..

This is a discussion about Covid because the accused was motivated by Covid. My argument is that the hysteria we've whipped up over this pandemic has caused people to take crazy risks to further a cause which only exists in our hysteria.

I believe Ms. Jones earnestly believes that she had to do these things to save tens of thousands of lives. If those weren't the stakes in her head, would she have downloaded PII and misused an alert system?

Essentially our rhetoric around Covid is mentally dangerous for many people and can cause them to act beyond reason due to their misinformed notion of risk

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by xenophonf on Monday January 18, 2021 @04:02PM (#25826589)
This:

> But I still love you!

comes off as _super_ disingenuous.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by rdiddly on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:26PM (#25825497)
Essentially our response to [every issue] has devolved into people shouting memes at one another...

That is the unfortunate state of public "debate" in the US today. Questions never get settled, and as a result, very little gets done.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by hvac on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:56PM (#25826529)
If the state’s data is garbage in the first place then the chance of a good-faith debate happening drops even further. I’m more than a little disturbed by the narrative that it’s OK for the state to lie as long as they are advancing a cause that you agree with. The underlying issue (covid) should not matter.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by Geminidog on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:28PM (#25825525)
Just because someone is interested in a topic doesn't mean they're connected to the topic.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by mrhyyyyde on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:50PM (#25825084)
Has a real interest in only this subject apparently: https://news.ycombinator.com/submitted?id=salmon30salmon
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by monoideism on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:56PM (#25825159)
What are you insinuating, exactly?
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by elliekelly on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:14PM (#25825357)
I’m not the person you’re replying to but I do think anyone who comes to HN to discuss primarily one narrow (and politically contentious) topic isn’t participating in HN in good faith. There’s no effort to “gratify one’s intellectual curiosity” or “have curious conversation” if you’ve arrived with an agenda.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by monoideism on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:26PM (#25825499)
Fair enough, but you don't think we all come to HN with agendas?
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:19PM (#25825415)
Because you know the links I click on. Or maybe, and I know this is crazy, but maybe this isn't my primary account as people have been mobbed and cancelled for having contrarian views on Covid!
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:02PM (#25825235)
He is saying I am either a troll or a pawn.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by nobody9999 on Monday January 18, 2021 @04:06PM (#25826624)
>He is saying I am either a troll or a pawn.

I didn't interpret that comment the same way at all.

I think the gist of it can be summed up by (purportedly) Winston Churchill:

"A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject."

If, as you suggest, you're using a semi-throwaway account specifically to discuss COVID, unless other folks know that, your posting history with this account would likely give that impression.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:56PM (#25825158)
See my response to the parent. Yes, coronavirus gets me all hot and bothered.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by _Understated_ on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:56PM (#25825160)
Well, in salmon30salmon's defence: the mainstream media are completely and utterly missing in action when it comes to COVID.

They only parrot what the gov tells them and investigate nothing these days.

There are countless credible scientists saying that we are getting this incredibly wrong on so many levels yet mainstream media does not mention anything other than government narrative.

When did you see any news coverage of criticism of the "vaccine"? I mean, on a scientific level, not government ineptitude at rolling it out.

Edit: I can't reply for some reason but here's a video talking about the "vaccine"[0] and here's the Great Barrington Declaration[1]. Here is criticism from the BMJ [2] stating that (according to my maths) it's only 19% effective... in addition, it's designed to TREAT the symptoms, not cure you... what kind of vaccine is that?

[0] - https://www.bitchute.com/video/edombs4NcvQ6/

[1] - https://gbdeclaration.org/

[2] - https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/04/peter-doshi-pfizer-and-...

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by selimthegrim on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:00PM (#25825210)
Which credible scientists? Levitt? Bhattacharya?
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by disgruntledphd2 on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:23PM (#25825451)
That BMJ article he linked is relatively worrying, so much so that I may actually read the FDA reports for the Pfizer vaccine.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by selimthegrim on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:18PM (#25826110)
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:21PM (#25825428)
I love you and thank you for coming to my defense but please do not link vaccine distrust with my views. I trust the data and the science behind the vaccines and believe we need to be getting them distributed as soon as possible
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by _Understated_ on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:28PM (#25825520)
No worries. Noted.

My point wasn't about vaccine distrust although that's part of it. It's more about not having a competent media that will at least say "we will question everything" and investigating along those lines. COVID is the prime example in my opinion so I provided links when asked.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:41PM (#25825678)
I think it isn't the media not questioning, I think the media realizes that Covid is the gift that keeps on giving and they won't look that gift horse in the mouth.

It's like the trope about media coverage of plane crashes except instead of being an acute incident the media can play off of our fears day after day

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by selimthegrim on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:14PM (#25826062)
The comments on the blog in [2] rightly criticize his assumption of high false negatives in the symptomatic but excluded arm
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by disgruntledphd2 on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:34PM (#25826296)
So, I went and followed the link (helpfully it goes to the correct table, though you'll need to scroll down a bit).

https://www.fda.gov/media/144245/download#page=18

This is the first point where 300 odd people were excluded from the analysis because of protocol deviations. Worryingly, this number was much higher in the treatment group. While I hope that blinding would have prevented any motivated exclusion, it's still quite concerning.

His second main point (which is actually really interesting), is that there were 3500 cases of symptoms consistent with Covid-19 that weren't revealed by a PCR test. I'm not sure what to think of this (and note that this number swamps the actual numbers of confirmed cases by about 10x), except that it matches with anecdotal evidence I've seen around negative tests in the presence of symptoms.

The details of the second point can be found here: https://www.fda.gov/media/144245/download#page=42

As a meta-point, the world would be a better place if more people clicked on linked and attempted to interrogate the soruces of things.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by selimthegrim on Monday January 18, 2021 @04:06PM (#25826626)
I was referring to his second main point.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by disgruntledphd2 on Monday January 18, 2021 @05:10PM (#25827280)
I only see one comment giving out about it, and it reveals an absolutely touching faith in peer-review practices.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by DanBC on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:58PM (#25825186)
> When did you see any news coverage of criticism of the "vaccine"?

There's no credible criticism of the vaccine. Can you point to any?

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by fatsdomino001 on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:35PM (#25825610)
I suspect what you deem credible is substantially different from what's credible to people who are critical of the covid mrna treatment.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by _Understated_ on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:47PM (#25825769)
But there is NO criticism at all... credible or not.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by yazaddaruvala on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:08PM (#25825992)
What do you mean “credible or not”?

Are you suggesting the media knowingly discuss information they cannot find as credible?

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by _Understated_ on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:27PM (#25826212)
Credibility is in the eyes of the viewer: what you view as credible may not be what I view as credible.

And, to that end, whether you would agree with the criticism or not, there is none anyway. No questioning or investigation by media of any sort around COVID science. That was my point.

Even if a hillbilly right-wing conspiracy theorist came onto CNN to talk about aliens or lizard-people that would at least be something but there is nothing but acceptance that what the government says is the ONLY answer.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by yazaddaruvala on Monday January 18, 2021 @04:00PM (#25826567)
> but there is nothing but acceptance that what the government says is the ONLY answer.

To be fair there is a lot of non-government and also non-media sources of information about mRNA in general and mRNA vaccines.

Understanding how things work helps me make my own decisions about the safety. This talk was one of the better ones I found. It is clearly meant for other researchers or as a university lecture[1], so if they say something you don’t know or understand do pause often (I definitely had to) and get educated about the related science.

My conclusion: Most of this stuff is relatively old science. I was even taught parts of it in high school decades ago (i.e. not politicized). The only unknowns for me are the COVID specific spike protein, and potential overproduction/overreaction by my cells. Given many people (including some friends) have now been exposed to this specific spike protein, it is clearly inert from a non-COVID perspective. And therefore overproduction/overreaction seem to be not a big deal, given the inert nature of this specific spike. And of course now we have data from many people taking the vaccine that it’s not an issue.

Anyways, I don’t distrust the media, but I subscribe to “trust and verify”. Regardless of why you want to verify, the internet allows you to become somewhat educated on most topics in about a week. And if you wanted to spend 3 months you could even become very educated[2] on that specific topic. Might as well take advantage of it for yourself.

[1] https://youtu.be/tVh1s06H_nw

[2] it’s even possible to become an expert over the internet, but would require multiple years and enough dedication that’s it’s probably simpler to just go to college for the subject. But it’s definitely possible, so leverage it as much as you can.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by fatsdomino001 on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:42PM (#25826394)
Well there is criticism, it's just not being reported on - but I think that's your point.

Overall the degree to which information is being controlled right now is pretty alarming.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by _Understated_ on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:29PM (#25825535)
See my edit above... couldn't reply at the time for some reason
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @01:49PM (#25825066)
The message sent via emergency comms was quite dramatic. Her insistence that the numbers were being cooked with malice to justify reopening is also attributing to conspiracy that which could be explained by differing opinions on how to clean up messy data (if someone tested positive on vacation, will they count in their home state or Florida?)
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by TameAntelope on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:01PM (#25825222)
She was told to turn an 18% to a 10% so more counties would appear ready to reopen, according to the article linked within this one.

I may need some help understanding how that's a "differing opinion" about how to clean up data.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:04PM (#25825261)
To me that doesn't pass the smell test. In my state, they've just changed the thresholds. "New science is showing XYZ so in response counties can now eat at restaurants if their shits under 20"
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by esoterae on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:15PM (#25825378)
Changing a threshold is not changing the underlying data. One is attempting to be rational and iterate through policy, and the other is lying.

Edit: Just to be explicit, yes I'm calling out the false equivalence as a logical fallacy.

Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by salmon30salmon on Monday January 18, 2021 @02:24PM (#25825460)
Right no shit. What I'm arguing is that people take the path of least resistance and it would have been far easier to announce a policy change than cook the books. I am saying that if opening up was the only reason, I do not believe that's the path they would take. Of course I'm just basing this off of my own feels.
Re:Data Scientist Rebekah Jones, Facing Arrest, Turns Hersel... by yazaddaruvala on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:14PM (#25826068)
Making a policy change has consequences. “De Santis made a terrible policy change, X people are now dead” is a very different headline than “after the data suggested Florida open up, X people are now dead”.

I don’t know if there is a conspiracy, but your argument regarding motivation is definitely not thorough.