Re:The Bit Short: Inside Crypto’s Doomsday Machine
by ForHackernews on Friday January 15, 2021 @04:33PM
(#25796825)
You've reversed the directionality: price drives mining activity, but mining activity doesn't determine the price. Miners spending more on hardware & energy won't produce more bitcoins (it just means the difficulty will increase and more CO2 will be released).
I'm saying the fact that you have to waste $10,000 worth of electricity calculating redundant hashes in order to make a bitcoin doesn't mean that bitcoin somehow contains $10k worth of "value" or that the cost of production sets a floor on the price.
People sometimes get confused about this, perhaps reasoning by way of analogy with real-world goods that will (typically) never be sold for less than the cost of their inputs, or they imagine some computerized form of the labor theory of value applies[0], but this is not true. The only factors determining the price of bitcoin are supply (fixed) and demand (driven by speculation).
Isn't it _directly_ related? If I'm a miner and the BTC I'm mining doubles in value I can afford to spend 2x as much money on hardware/energy and still make a profit.