Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by ojbyrne on Saturday July 26, 2008 @09:52AM
(#257531)
My personal opinion is that given that they have roughly the same traffic levels with 60+ people that they had with 10 people, and are somewhat close to breakeven, is that it's time for layoffs, not another round of financing.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by ojbyrne on Saturday July 26, 2008 @03:34PM
(#257720)
Very little pull. Reason #400 why I left - basically because I felt that whenever I suggested a good idea, it was shot down just because I was the source.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by ojbyrne on Sunday July 27, 2008 @05:02PM
(#258407)
Obviously, or I wouldn't be so eager to see them sell, but equity without liquidity is useless. Digg management has already demonstrated their willingness to treat my shares differently from the other founder's shares (see my comment above about Kevin cashing in shares).
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by ojbyrne on Saturday July 26, 2008 @03:45PM
(#257732)
As it turns out I have a nice high paying job for a well known travel website and get employee discounts ;-). So while extended vacations are out, Tahiti might not be.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by marijn on Saturday July 26, 2008 @09:21AM
(#257518)
> We’re hearing they’ll just push through with a new round of financing.
I may be a bit clueless about the whole web-entrepreneurship thing, but I'm amazed that after three and a half year and zillions of users, Digg is still not making money. How would such a thing be worth 200 million dollars, anyway?
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by babul on Saturday July 26, 2008 @09:56AM
(#257535)
With "zillions" of users they will find a way to make money eventually.
It is a pattern used by many others (both online and offline) and it is easier to create leverage once you have a large established userbase (especially if you are able to determine their demographics), though often it may seem a lot like gambling.
Many of the other big social sites have also yet to make money/profit.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by nir on Sunday July 27, 2008 @06:02PM
(#258442)
Yeah, maybe there's two periods when a site like Slashdot or Digg is good - before the masses arrive and after they leave.. It's the bell curve upside down :)
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by schtog on Saturday July 26, 2008 @10:14AM
(#257541)
I understand and agree with your point but for Google it might not have been wrong. Not that they can make money from it directly but as part of the bigger plan to organize the worlds information.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by brandonkm on Saturday July 26, 2008 @06:48PM
(#257825)
I think the main reason google walked away from this deal was that $200 million is simply too much money to spend on a acquisition that dosn't have a net positive effect throughout the company and the web. The fact that they walked away at the time they did shows you that there was were red flags that were raised somewhere and a serious reconsideration was in order. Theres also the issue of digg's technology...
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by mtw on Saturday July 26, 2008 @09:00AM
(#257513)
i find suspicious that they backed away when doing due diligence.
just recently, techcrunch reported about google trying to introduce digg-like features in its user interface. seems to me that either google wanted to either buy or have a close look at digg's algorithm.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by nir on Saturday July 26, 2008 @10:25AM
(#257544)
I'd bet Google's Ph.D collection could could come up with an algorithm that performs as well as Digg's (that is, not very) on their own... The UI is of course no problem either.
The whole deal seems pointless. Some would claim it's for the userbase, but Digg/Reddit by now have self-selected themselves down to a notoriously bad userbase. Would you pay $200m for those guys?
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by mattmaroon on Saturday July 26, 2008 @08:34PM
(#257890)
Bad user base from what perspective? From the eyes of someone who likes the conversations on Hacker News, sure. From the perspective of a company that makes their business selling ads, probably not so much.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by brk on Saturday July 26, 2008 @09:47AM
(#257528)
It's interesting speculation, but I think it's just as likely that once Google peered behind the curtain they realized that there is really nothing special or unique about any part of Digg.
"The algorithm" has been reproduced in various formats on many many other sites (including this one). And it's not like Digg's algorithm "works" in the sense of promoting only the best stories, banishing spam, and just generally being intelligent.
Re:Google Walks Away From Digg Deal
by Prrometheus on Saturday July 26, 2008 @06:16PM
(#257803)
In the financial world, we made potential acquirers sign non-disclosure, non-compete, and lockup agreements that usually lasted for a period of 12-24 months.
It's Google has enough negotiating leverage to get out of signing all of that.
"Well, to clarify, I still provide consulting to Equinix. As for the money I made from that venture, suffice to say the reverse split nuked my founder's wealth for morbid. There was enough to secure my kids' college education (if they need money from me, who knows), and enough to buy me a new minivan. Anything left is for my parents who deserve every penny. I never said I had a desire to be a VC..."
My 2 cents - quit trying to be something to everyone - because those of us who visited in the early years left long ago.
btw it's Merrick - had lunch with you at Pubcon in '06
It was so close to getting you that lovely vacation to Tahiti you so richly deserve. Sorry, dude. We're still rooting for ya, though.
I may be a bit clueless about the whole web-entrepreneurship thing, but I'm amazed that after three and a half year and zillions of users, Digg is still not making money. How would such a thing be worth 200 million dollars, anyway?
more likely there's a VC or two about to invest in digg that is clueless...
It is a pattern used by many others (both online and offline) and it is easier to create leverage once you have a large established userbase (especially if you are able to determine their demographics), though often it may seem a lot like gambling.
Many of the other big social sites have also yet to make money/profit.
Either that or the next thing comes along and they move on. See Slashdot before and after Digg.
(Seriously, what digg did was to pull all the people stupid enough to install Alexa.)
Also for those who haven't read Sarah Lacy's crappy book on Web 2.0, Kevin has already cashed out some shares.
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/06_33/b3997002....
just recently, techcrunch reported about google trying to introduce digg-like features in its user interface. seems to me that either google wanted to either buy or have a close look at digg's algorithm.
(this is just speculation by the way)
The whole deal seems pointless. Some would claim it's for the userbase, but Digg/Reddit by now have self-selected themselves down to a notoriously bad userbase. Would you pay $200m for those guys?
"The algorithm" has been reproduced in various formats on many many other sites (including this one). And it's not like Digg's algorithm "works" in the sense of promoting only the best stories, banishing spam, and just generally being intelligent.
It's Google has enough negotiating leverage to get out of signing all of that.
They only pay big bucks for userbases.
However, anyone could make a digg like algorithm trivially. The value to digg is the userbase.
http://sec.edgar-online.com/2003/05/15/0001012870-03-002591/...
In his own words:
"Well, to clarify, I still provide consulting to Equinix. As for the money I made from that venture, suffice to say the reverse split nuked my founder's wealth for morbid. There was enough to secure my kids' college education (if they need money from me, who knows), and enough to buy me a new minivan. Anything left is for my parents who deserve every penny. I never said I had a desire to be a VC..."
http://blog.adelson.org/2006/09/im_going_to_try.html