Tesla is a mixed bag. The semi and roadster are nowhere to be found and the solar roof was pushed back and back.

The Model 3 was ahead of schedule (at least in terms of release if not production volumes) and so was the Model Y.

My guess is that projects that will make or break the company live under round the clock intense supervision from Musk, and have the company's top talent and full resources assigned.

Projects simmering on the back burner more or less progress as they would at other companies.

So - is the $25k Model 2 in the critical path for Tesla? I would use that as a guide to guessing whether it'll be vaporware or rushed through with superhuman effort.

It seems that for European production of Model Y, they will start delivering these (produced at Gigafactory Berlin) earlier than the expected Q3 2021.