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Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by notsureaboutpg on Thursday December 31, 2020 @07:22PM (#25599015)
The only reason BTC works in this scenario is that the authorities are not chasing it down. If they decide to, it will be just as unviable as the other options and authorities have many methods at their disposal to make bitcoin transfers difficult.

BTC is cool, but no amount of tech can solve what is essentially a policy issue: overseas remittances.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by Kranar on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:01PM (#25599449)
You can make the same argument about AirBNB or Uber. The bottom line is that when a technology becomes available that makes life much easier for its users, it's really hard for the government to then crack down on it.

There's not much reason for any government to want to crack down on BTC simply for the sake of cracking down on it. People talk about governments cracking down on BTC because it will undermine the local currency or banking system but I think that's mostly paranoia, there's not much of any evidence to substantiate the hypothesis that any government is fearful of cryptocurrencies.

There were some governments and regulatory agencies that were concerned that BTC is a scam, or needs to be subject to security regulations, and had legitimate concerns about it but for the most part governments don't care that much about BTC in terms of a danger or a threat to their legitimacy.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by shireboy on Friday January 01, 2021 @07:45AM (#25602880)
In fact, governments like New York have cracked down on Uber and AirBnb. I do think if BTC or another crypto were to be a problem for a country they would simply legislate away people’s right to hold or exchange it. US would pass a bill that makes the exchanges illegal. Sure, people would find ways around that, but it would be enough to deter your average citizen and to squash widespread adoption.

Whether BTC becomes a problem is a question, but if use in laundering or escaping taxes gets past a certain point, I do think it is a risk.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by syshum on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:11PM (#25599586)
>>People talk about governments cracking down on BTC because it will undermine the local currency or banking system but I think that's mostly paranoia

Incorrect, the government has no concerns over undermining the local currency. The primary purpose of banking regulations is population control, it has nothing to do with currency perservation

Know your Customer laws, book keeping regulations, etc are all about control and intelligence. If they can get this intel and allow BTC to operate as is they will leave it alone, if however they can not get the intel they need on how money is moving well you can bet your life they will crack down hard

Governments, all governments even yours, are about Power, Control, and Authority not what people seem to naively think that the government is there to "help" or "protect" or any other just altruistic goals.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:16PM (#25599631)
Government isn't a monolith. There are individuals within the government that have altruistic goals. It may be helpful for certain analyses to simplify and consider a government as an individual, but for other analyses that's counter-productive.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by syshum on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:23PM (#25599706)
Government is a monolith, the goals of the individuals that make up the government are irrelevant.

The road to hell is paved with good intentions, and the most terrifying phrase in the English language is "We must do _____ for the greater good"

Government is not reason, it is not eloquence,it is force! Like fire, it is a dangerous servant, and a fearful master; never for a moment should it be left to irresponsible action.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:30PM (#25599781)
You're spouting platitudes, which I enjoy sometimes for a dramatic turn of phrase, but they aren't helpful for rational discussion. They're best used for introducing a topic, but then we need a little more structure behind the facade.

Going back to the monolith question, the other day someone at the public utility helped me fix a mistake with my bill. That individual was not irrelevant to my experience with government power.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by chris_wot on Thursday December 31, 2020 @09:53PM (#25600365)
I’ve been noticing this sort of comment a lot in discussions of cryptocurrencies.

Take for instance the following response to the Ray Dillinger’s email:

Internet also became a disaster. We're very far from original ideas: Uncensored, decentralized ideals are forgotten.

I remember, in the beginning, governments were really afraid of people's reactions, even to make small regulations. Today, we don't even discuss before accepting any regulation about Internet. Infrastructure is almost completely controlled/owned by governments or cartels. [1]

That is so far beyond reality that it’s hard to believe this person was there “at the beginning”. The Internet, after all, started as a DARPA project...

1. https://www.metzdowd.com/pipermail/cryptography/2020-Decembe...

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by feanaro on Thursday December 31, 2020 @07:40PM (#25599205)
Why is it obvious that no amount of tech can solve it? Tech can also influence policy. If something is nearly impossible to stop, it likely won't be stopped. The policy will be changed instead.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by graeme on Thursday December 31, 2020 @07:55PM (#25599384)
This hasn’t proven true in countries with functioning govts: they very much have applied tax and securities law to bitcoin.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by jimmaswell on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:00PM (#25599440)
The rideshare industry had a clear impact on local laws in every first world country for one example.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by graeme on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:11PM (#25599577)
Right, because it was hard to control and ridesharing was clearly better. My point was the experience in functioning countries has not shown this to be true of bitcoin.

It has been easy enough for govts to enforce tax and security laws where they’ve tried. What laws have been changed for bitcoin?

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by jimmaswell on Thursday December 31, 2020 @09:12PM (#25600116)
The IRS issued official guidance on it but there's no need for new laws around it.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by graeme on Thursday December 31, 2020 @11:21PM (#25600818)
That’s the point! Bitcoin didn’t bend the world to its will. Whereas ridesharing forced legalization of ridesharing.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by feanaro on Friday January 01, 2021 @02:42PM (#25606120)
I should note that I do not necessarily imply in my comment that it would be Bitcoin that would bend the world to its will. Bitcoin is just one member of a larger cluster of cryptocurrencies. There are certainly some cryptocurrencies for which it is not so obvious that governments will be able to enforce exactly the same laws as they enforce now.

That said, even with Bitcoin, I do think it shifted the world ever so slightly in a new direction of financial independence which just wasn't there before. There is something distinctly different about sending money to someone else in any part of the world just by typing their address, with no one being able to stop you. With traditional methods, governments could impose and have regularly interfered and imposed bureaucracy already on this sending step. With Bitcoin they do not do this because it isn't very practical.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by jimmaswell on Friday January 01, 2021 @10:57AM (#25604116)
You could argue its popularity has prevented governments from regulating against it as hard as they would have liked to.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:11PM (#25599579)
> nearly impossible to stop

What's nearly impossible to stop? Can't the government simply shut down the internet to stop Bitcoin? Or insert itself as the man in the middle of all network traffic.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by stale2002 on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:18PM (#25599652)
No, the government can't "just shut down the internet".

If any government did that, then the country would suffer extreme economic damages, if such a policy was maintained for a long time.

Your argument would be like if someone were to say "actually, the government can stop all theft, now and forever. All it has to do is launch 1 thousand nukes, start world war 3, and kill off 99% of the population".

Like, sure. The government could end the world, by launch a nuke at every major city in the world. And it is true that by doing this it would end all theft .. because everyone is dead.

But you are kinda missing the bigger picture if you are seriously suggesting this as a counter argument to anything.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:22PM (#25599698)
My point was that the government has control of the internet, and thereby all activity on the internet.

> extreme economic damages

We're talking about Venezuela, which has had extreme economic damages caused by a government trying to maintain control over its population. It seems that they don't care about damage, only power domestically, not internationally. The comment we're replying to said that Bitcoin is valuable in transactions with Venezuelan counter-parties because of Venezuela's government's damage to the domestic economy.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by feanaro on Friday January 01, 2021 @02:43PM (#25606127)
> My point was that the government has control of the internet, and thereby all activity on the internet.

Yes, if you're a big enough bully, you have control over many things. However, sometimes the control would imply too much destruction so even the bully chooses not to proceed. This is essentially what is happening right now.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Friday January 01, 2021 @03:30PM (#25606709)
https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/18/americas/venezuela-death-of-s...

> In more recent years, even the state's hold on the country's financial system has been badly shaken, with the US dollar growing commonplace in day-to-day transactions. In March 2019, Venezuela's entire electric grid collapsed, leaving some regions without power for up to a week. Without electricity, electronic transactions including credit and debit card payments were impossible, and paying cash was futile with even the highest-denomination bolivar notes worth only pennies. So Venezuelans started using the option left: illegal foreign banknotes.

How would they use Bitcoin when electricity is out? Generators only last so long when fuel is rationed.

> the government for the first time allowed a private company to issue bonds in dollars, and by doing so, raise capital outside of government control.

They key word there is "allowed" because that emphasizes the ability to disallow at some point in the future.

People have this sci-fi imagining of megacorps and the collapse of government power. Instead, we have Jack Ma probably afraid for his life, because he insulted the wrong person.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by stale2002 on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:56PM (#25599978)
> My point was that the government has control of the internet, and thereby all activity on the internet.

And yet, here we are, living in a world where such controls are pretty difficult to enact and simply aren't happening.

Even in places where there are government controls over the internet, such controls are apparently not even close to perfect, on many many people are successfully able to get around them.

So, the evidence shows, that despite any argument that you are making about how governments might control the internet and stop anyone from ever doing anything at all that they don't like, that is simply not happening right now to such a perfect degree that you suggest should happen, even in currently authoritarian countries.

> We're talking about Venezuela, which has had extreme economic damages caused by a government trying to maintain control over its population

And yet, despite all of that, it doesn't really seem to be enacting extreme/perfect control over the internet, despite many motivations to do so, that have nothing to do with crypto.

> The comment we're replying to said that Bitcoin is valuable in transactions with Venezuelan counter-parties because of Venezuela's government's damage to the domestic economy.

Ok, and Venezuela isn't at all successfully preventing this damage. They aren't doing that. So the evidence shows that, for some reason, Venezuela is unable or unwilling to put extreme controls on crypto, do the the consequences or difficulty of doing so.

Any hypothetical, or arguments that you can possibly think of, as for why Venezuela should put extreme controls on crypto or the internet, needs to deal with the fact that Venezuela simply isn't doing that right now, likely for a good reason. Because it is very difficult to do that.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Thursday December 31, 2020 @09:38PM (#25600288)
Nope, I'm not familiar with how widespread cryptocurrency usage is for international exchange with Venezuela. I do know that they keep tight control over traditional foreign currency exchange via public markets.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by stale2002 on Friday January 01, 2021 @12:14AM (#25601060)
> I do know that they keep tight control

I was talking about how much control they have over the internet.

The fact of the matter is, that even the most authoritarian countries out there, are simply are unable to have a 100% perfect authoritarian control over their internet, as of today.

Despite the many motivations that current authoritarian countries have for definitely wanting to control their internet, right now, the evidence is showing that they are failing to perfectly control everything over the internet.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Friday January 01, 2021 @12:24AM (#25601102)
I don't think the aim is to have 100% control, but just enough. I'll admit I didn't read closely, but I have read a few news articles about some government or another temporarily shutting down internet access during a protest. I'd expect Venezuela could do something similar if they felt like it. They seem perfectly happy letting their citizenry go without basic staples, I'm sure they'd be fine turning off internet for a while.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by stale2002 on Friday January 01, 2021 @06:21AM (#25602479)
> I'd expect Venezuela could do something similar if they felt like it.

And yet, if you look at the real world, and how things exist already, you see that these types of efforts have failed.

This is not a hypothetical situation. This is not about stuff that may or may not happen in the future.

Instead, you can look at real world situations, that happen right now, in existing countries all around the world, and you will see that the efforts to control the internet, have mostly failed.

Ex: Just look at china, which is the most famous example of internet control. . Lots of people have VPNs and can get around these restrictions in china.

The evidence already proves you wrong. There are multiple countries who have attempted to enact strict controls, over the internet, already, and they have mostly failed.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Friday January 01, 2021 @03:15PM (#25606535)
On the contrary, I think China is a good example of how the government can have its cake and eat it, too.

When you say, "lots of people," how many are we talking about? The majority? If so, you'd think the government would just give up trying to have control, it wouldn't be worth the effort.

Remember, we're not talking about trying to have a technology that a few hobbyists can use. The goal is widespread usage, enough that it prevents governments from controlling currency.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by stale2002 on Friday January 01, 2021 @05:54PM (#25608131)
> When you say, "lots of people," how many are we talking about?

Enough that this whole original idea that you stated which was "Can't the government simply shut down the internet", is obviously not true.

The real world examples of real world countries, show that places like china are not "shutting down the internet", and that such an idea is obviously stupid.

There are tons of stories that you could make up in your head, about why China would want to shut down the internet right now.

And yet, the fact of the matter is, that China is not "shutting down the internet". Thats the facts. Countries are simply not doing that. Despite many motivations to do so.

> you'd think the government would just give up trying to have control, it wouldn't be worth the effort

And yet we see that the governments of the world are not successfully cracking down on the internet enough to shut down crypto. Thats not happening. Despite the fact that crypto is often used for illegal purposes. And yet countries aren't enacting authoritarian control over all of the internet to shut it all down.

We do not need to consider hypotheticals here. Just look at the real world, right now, and all the illegal activity that happens using crypto, and yet we are seeing that the world governments are not willing to enact measures to shut it all down.

Apparently, it is not worth the effort to shut down that illegal activity, right now. That is already the state of the world.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Saturday January 02, 2021 @05:30AM (#25611808)
I'll ignore the "obviously stupid" comment and let you Google for examples.

I agree that it's not worth the effort for governments to shut down Bitcoin, at the moment. The US just confiscated $1 billion in coin. They're pretty happy with the pseudonyms it seems.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by stale2002 on Saturday January 02, 2021 @02:18PM (#25615523)
What some people don't seem to understand here, is that I could make a bitcoin transaction, by make a phone call to someone, for example.

In order to truly prevent people from making bitcoin to transactions, a government would have to enact absolute authoritarian control over every single bit of information that goes into and out of the country.

If I could even send a text message to someone outside the country, then I can send my bitcoin. Governments are not going to shut down all methods of ever sending text information to everyone permanently.

> let you Google for examples.

There are no examples of governments having absolute authoritarian perfect control over the internet, for any extended lengths of time.

In every example of countries that have internet restrictions, there are many people who are still able to get information into and out of the country, through numerous methods.

The original statement was "What's nearly impossible to stop?". And I maintained that it absolutely is nearly impossible for a government to enact perfect authoritarian control over every single person in a country. That is just obviously false.

So no, governments cannot "simply shut down the internet to stop Bitcoin". Because no government in existence today, has enacted perfect authoritarian control, over the internet, or shut down their internet permanently and stopped every single VPN, satellite phone, ect.

> it's not worth the effort for governments to shut down Bitcoin

It will never be worth it for governments to permanently shut down all of the internet now and forever, as well as stop all of the vpns, satellite phone, ect.

This kind of a permanent shutdown is something that no government has ever done. Every single example of governments trying to control the internet, still has many ways of getting information in and out of the country.

Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by xapata on Sunday January 03, 2021 @12:46AM (#25619808)
I think we're talking past each other, because you're thinking of your own (and similar people's) ability, whereas I'm thinking of broad majority usage.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by arcticbull on Thursday December 31, 2020 @08:27PM (#25599740)
Have you met North Korea?
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by chris_wot on Thursday December 31, 2020 @09:55PM (#25600373)
That bastion of great economic management and economic growth...
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by arcticbull on Thursday December 31, 2020 @10:01PM (#25600408)
Indeed however Bitcoin is positioned as a way of fighting back against these administrations. However it helps literally nobody in North Korea because they just shut down their internet.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by mythrwy on Friday January 01, 2021 @01:11AM (#25601290)
I think Bitcoin does help people in North Korea though. Just not the average citizen.
Re:Bitcoin is a disaster by arcticbull on Friday January 01, 2021 @03:56AM (#25601843)
No citizen of North Korea whose not a party member gets to use Bitcoin. The only people who do are using it to finance the hermit kingdom's nuclear weapons program. That's not a good thing.