Re:A Statistical Estimate of Extraterrestrial Intelligence i...
by mewpmewp2 on Monday December 28, 2020 @01:53AM
(#25557312)
Without specific numbers and calculating chance of life like ours to occur I don't see how you can confidently make such claims. It could very well be the case that even for a universe this large, it was a statistical anomaly for it to have life. Maybe out of 1000 similar universes only 1 would happen to have life. How can you tell the odds so confidently?
Maybe even out of 1,000,000,000 of similar universes only 1 would actually happen to have life. It's similar with planets. If you only know of 1 planet within 1B to have life, how can you tell the odds are not low enough to have 1 universe out of 1B to have life?
This could be an awesome example of survivorship bias to assume because there's life here, there must be life elsewhere in the universe too. We only have experience with a planet where there's life, so we are innately biased to think that it might be more frequent occurrence than it really is.
Maybe even out of 1,000,000,000 of similar universes only 1 would actually happen to have life. It's similar with planets. If you only know of 1 planet within 1B to have life, how can you tell the odds are not low enough to have 1 universe out of 1B to have life?
This could be an awesome example of survivorship bias to assume because there's life here, there must be life elsewhere in the universe too. We only have experience with a planet where there's life, so we are innately biased to think that it might be more frequent occurrence than it really is.