Re:Is Probability Real?
by lottin on Sunday December 06, 2020 @04:22PM
(#25326779)
Alright, thank you. I don't think that this is right at all, but I will give it a further thought when I have the time. Nice talking to you.
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Depending on your background, you may find this paper interesting http://jimbeck.caltech.edu/summerlectures/references/Probabi...
In pages 5-9 he derives the rules of probability as a "reasonable expectations" extension to symbolic logic.
Of course you're right that this is a description of how rational thought should be and not necessarily a description of how people think. Actual beliefs can be inconsistent in the same way that one can believe things that go against the laws of logic.
It's always fun to discuss the foundations of probability. Thanks.