News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by the_economist on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:08PM (#25281667)
There's still the problem of what to do between 4pm and 8 am on a day without wind, which means we won't be able to shut down too many power plants until cheap energy storage exists.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by epistasis on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @08:51PM (#25284304)
Energy storage is already cheap enough to provide this for a few hours in the evening, as long as it's guaranteed that the battery get to discharge (and get paid) daily. In the ERCOT market, one of the markets that's most open to new, independent entrants reusing to make money, the interconnection queue has more GW of storage than natural gas.

The much trickier problem is storage that's only needed once a week, once a month, or once a year. That's where we don't have batteries, yet.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by Budabellly on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @09:57PM (#25284763)
Gravity batteries! Basically a hunk of concrete that uses spare grid power to be hoisted, and then converts the gravitational energy when its dropped.

Seems like there are only a few companies giving it a real go.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_battery

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by ben_w on Friday December 04, 2020 @10:36AM (#25303400)
Low energy density though — a fully charged 1kg LiIon battery has enough energy to raise its own weight by a height of about 50 km.

Wikipedia says energy density of 0.36-0.875 MJ/kg; assuming 0.5 MJ/kg and putting it into PE = mgh -> 0.5 MJ/kg * 1kg = 1kg * g * h -> h = (0.5 MJ/kg)/g = ~51 km

http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=%280.5%20MJ%2Fkg%29%2Fg...

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by epistasis on Friday December 04, 2020 @06:57PM (#25309987)
I think that ultimately this limits how cheap gravity batteries can get, there’s just too much material and those materials are already well-understood components with little chance for falling costs. We would likely need entirely new and innovative materials or designs A gravity battery that used completely new materials or design to come up with something cheap.

Where as lithium ion batteries generally get cheaper the more energy dense we make them (in the same chemistries, at least) because fewer resources go into making that same kWh of storage.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by Budabellly on Saturday December 05, 2020 @02:49PM (#25317689)
Admittedly, I know very little of the battery industry, and not much more about gravity battery viability.

That said, naive me would would ask why we can't just fill ballasts with waste water or other dense waste materials on-site?

Energy density over a gravity battery's working lifetime is a different metric than "per-charge", and maybe more relevant for supplying energy back to a grid (compared to, e.g. a home).

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by epistasis on Saturday December 05, 2020 @07:17PM (#25319719)
Most people guess wrong about what technologies end up winning, so me as an internet rando could definitely be wrong about gravity batteries! Certainly the idea that lithium ion batteries would be cheap/high-specific-energy enough for cars would have seemed crazy 20 years ago. And even more so that lithium ion would make it to the grid!

My thought about them are mostly about learning curves, however. We have a long ways to go while we make lithium ion batteries cheaper, probably decades, and we improve a lot each year. Gravel, rock, stone, etc. and however we contain and move that around? That seems to be something that humans have been optimizing since our first days, and there doesn't seem to be much room for improvement at the moment.

My other assumption, which could be false, is that gravity batteries are not currently economical on our current grid with current electricity prices and price swings, an assumption I make because there are no installs I know of, and none planned. Instead of being uneconomic, they could just be untried, because the electricity industry is fairly innovative. If gravity batteries are economical today then I think there could be future for them.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by pjc50 on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @07:03PM (#25283523)
It's more or less impossible for there to be no wind over a large area at the same time - low wind areas are surrounded by circulating air in a cyclonic structure.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by thu2111 on Thursday December 03, 2020 @04:47AM (#25287319)
I think you must have missed this event from just a few weeks ago:

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/blackout-alert-from-natio...

Last week, National Grid issued two electricity margin notices, the most serious security-of-supply alerts since 2016, both citing low wind farm output among the causes and urgently appealing for more power plants. To keep the lights on, Britain burnt coal in polluting old power stations that are due to close within a few years.

“Unusually low wind output coinciding with a number of generator outages means the cushion of spare capacity we operate the system with has been reduced,” it said last month, warning of “tight margins” on Britain’s power grid in the days to come.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by ben_w on Friday December 04, 2020 @10:27AM (#25303290)
I guess you and pjc50 have a different idea of “a large area”. The UK is about half the size of California.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by thu2111 on Friday December 04, 2020 @11:38AM (#25304333)
Balancing power over ever larger areas does run into problems with long distance inter-connectors and spare capacity in general though, so it's not like this is an easily solved problem. The UK is well connected to mainland Europe with many large interconnectors and has an enormous abundance of off shore wind power because it's an island, yet it still nearly had brown/blackouts due to low wind coinciding with normal maintenance. That suggests the UK is hitting the limits of what can be done with wind power despite having a lot of it. Even if interconnectors were upgraded, that doesn't help if other countries are already using all their wind power locally.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by matthias509 on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:52PM (#25282155)
Maybe use excess electricity to produce hydrogen using electrolysis and then burn it in a turbine later?
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by nomel on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @06:46PM (#25283396)
Here's a comparison: https://www.eesi.org/papers/view/energy-storage-2019

Electrolysis isn't very efficient without nasty electrolytes. For massive scale, pumped water/air is still probably the most feasible in a reasonable timeframe and cost.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by simongr3dal on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:10PM (#25281693)
Global energy grid?
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by pan69 on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:17PM (#25281776)
So that North Americas energy can come from China during the night?

The sun is always shining somewhere but this does doesn't sound feasible simply due to geo-political and infrastructure reasons.

Have any serious plans been put forward for this idea?

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by bregma on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:17PM (#25281779)
Running a power cable across the Pacific is going to be rife with expensive engineering problems, but sure, you could send electrons from Three Gorges to Google at some cost. I wouldn't call it cheaper, though.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by inglor_cz on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:33PM (#25281945)
AFAIK even getting solar electricity from Sahara to European part of the Mediterranean basin would be extremely expensive, and this is peanuts compared to the cost of sending electricity over the Pacific.

Unless there are massive improvements in superconductive materials, of course.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by imtringued on Thursday December 03, 2020 @05:45AM (#25287638)
Couldn't they invest into hydrogen electrolysis? Hydrogen will grow in importance as an industrial energy input.

If saharan electricity is the cheapest then nobody else can compete in hydrogen production.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by BurningFrog on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:21PM (#25281820)
In the spirit of "Never underestimate the bandwidth of a station wagon full of tapes hurtling down the highway." I wonder if shipping big piles of fully charged batteries around has any chance of being a practical power distribution method?
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by manfredo on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @05:38PM (#25282697)
Not even remotely. Batteries have some of the worst energy density both by unit of volume and mass https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_density#/media/File:Ene....

Not to mention global annual battery production amounts to less than 1 hour of the USA's national electricity usage.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by ben_w on Friday December 04, 2020 @10:41AM (#25303495)
Your first point is valid, but I think the second is using the wrong measure — as batteries are rechargeable, surely the measure should be total existent batteries not annual production of batteries?

(I would be surprised if this was viable even with my suggested measure, no argument there!)

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by manfredo on Saturday December 05, 2020 @09:55PM (#25320617)
Liquid natural gas freightliners are also refillable. I'm not sure what you mean by this. A cargo ship filled to the brim with batteries still has orders of magnitude less energy as a ship filled with the same mass of natural gas.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by ben_w on Sunday December 06, 2020 @03:02PM (#25326191)
Global annual battery production has to be first integrated with respect to time and then multiplied by the turn-around time to calculate global annual capacity to ship electricity by way of charged batteries.

I absolutely accept that this is a poor solution, and that I am quibbling over a factor of perhaps 500 at most when it’s short by a factor of ~250,000.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by jpollock on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:38PM (#25281992)
The value of the electricity can be measured by comparing it to the value of a petroleum product. transportable energy can be made using from CO2 in the air using Fischer-Tropsch.

It's energy intensive, and uneconomic - which is why people are stringing HVDC links across bodies of water - Denmark/Sweden, Australia/Tasmania, NZ North/South Islands instead.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fischer%E2%80%93Tropsch_proces...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_HVDC_projects

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by flgb on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @05:56PM (#25282898)
LNG tankers are today’s energy equivalent of station wagon full of tapes. In the future we might do the same by liquefying hydrogen (or ammonia) to distribute energy from renewable-rich countries to renewable-poor ones.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by gruez on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:33PM (#25281938)
I highly doubt this. According to wikipedia[1], three high voltage towers can transmit 7079 MW of power. To beat that with lipo batteries you'd need to move 26,713 metric tons worth of batteries per hour[2], and that's not even including time to charge. I don't think any sort of freight transportation method can do that cheaper than some transmission towers.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electric_power_transmission

[2] https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=7079+MWh+%2F+265Wh%2Fk...

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by MayeulC on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @05:18PM (#25282482)
Well, this is technically true, and already being done today with gas and petroleum.

Converting it back-and-forth to electricity isn't easy nor very efficient, though. Hydrogen is a bit easier, although still lossy. I'd say it's doable, and not as bad as it sounds, if you really have excess production.

inb4 compressed air supertankers.

That said, it will in most cases be less expensive to use it as close to the originating point as possible if you can find a need for it.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by bregma on Thursday December 03, 2020 @07:51AM (#25288337)
The most effective (relatively safe, relatively energy-dense, easy to handle) way to store energy is in a hydrogen-carbon bond. If only there was some way to transport that across oceans in large tankers....
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by BurningFrog on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @06:36PM (#25283310)
OK, shipping batteries between continents is far from feasible now.

But what about electrifying a small collection of households by batteries that are replaced from a truck every N weeks, instead of building many miles of power lines through (perhaps flammable) wilderness?

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by bregma on Friday December 04, 2020 @08:19AM (#25301929)
Remember, lithium ion batteries are demonstrably effective bombs. Shipping big piles of bombs around is a well-established power distribution method, although not usually electrical power.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by sremani on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:32PM (#25281927)
Batteries are heavy - unless you are sending these station wagons downhill, its probably not such a great idea.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by ljlolel on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:51PM (#25282150)
A 747 as a giant lithium battery with wings
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by chartpath on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:29PM (#25281896)
Sneakernet 4.0
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by gruez on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:16PM (#25281760)
You really want to be dependent on other countries for your vital infrastructure? Imagine if we go to war with china/russia, and they shut down energy exports to the US causing rolling blackouts everywhere.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by _ph_ on Thursday December 03, 2020 @04:09AM (#25287065)
The obvious solution would be not to go to war with china/russia unless they shut down energy exports. And of course they wouldn't, as they depend on selling and also importing electricity at times. We even have practical experiences with that. Germany for many decades got their natural gas from the sovjet union and russia. Despite of the cold war, and it indeed was just short of a war state, gas supplies never were cut. Because cutting gas supply to Germany would have been a simple way to apply pressure, but not a cheap one. It would either have triggered a war or at minimum that after recovering from the cut, Germany would have been permanentely lost as a trading partner. So there was never a supply cut in many decades.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by simongr3dal on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:20PM (#25281809)
Then get your electricity nationaly, or from france, or from germany, or from saudi arabia, or from australia, or from argentina.

The point of a global energy grid would be that there's always sun and wind somewhere on the planet and you would smooth out time-of-day differences in usage. The point is NOT to outsource your country's entire electricity production.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by gruez on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:27PM (#25281878)
> Then get your electricity nationaly, or from france, or from germany, or from saudi arabia, or from australia, or from argentina.

Ah yes, because the other countries will magically have the spare capacity (both in terms of generation and transmission)?

We already see this play out in Europe: nobody there wants to do anything about russia because they control the natural gas supply.

>The point is NOT to outsource your country's entire electricity production.

Maybe, but the effects are the same. If you can't produce enough electricity to make it through the night, that puts you in very vulurable position. Even if it doesn't completely shut down the country, it might cause enough unrest to topple the current administration (eg. if they're only leading in the polls by a few percentage points and there's an election in a few months).

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by ben_w on Friday December 04, 2020 @10:57AM (#25303733)
> Ah yes, because the other countries will magically have the spare capacity (both in terms of generation and transmission)?

I believe simongr3dal’s argument is the invisible hand of the free market, not magic.

Optimistically, solar resources are more evenly distributed than oil and gas, so no country can act like Russia; pessimistically, Russia isn’t the first country to exert influence by threatening to cease supply of its resources, and it won’t be the last; the optimistic response to which is that there are many ways to solve seasonal issues, for example the UK (personal familiarity, no other reason for this example) could plan 18-hours local storage and enough local production for winter rather than summer.

Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by red75prime on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:52PM (#25282160)
Magnetic field of power cables is easily detectable and you can't realistically defend thousands miles of them.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by BurningFrog on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:18PM (#25281792)
True, that part is lagging behind, but it is also improving fast.
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by outworlder on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:43PM (#25282046)
Solar beamed power from orbital facilities?
Re:Why did renewables become so cheap so fast? by marshray on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:54PM (#25282177)
Beaming power from space has huge losses, and I really don't think we need to a system of remote-controlled death rays orbiting the planet right now.