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Re:Covid vaccine: First ‘milestone’ vaccine offers 90% prote... by collyw on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @06:12AM (#25044673)
It's difficult to say because most places did lockdown. Everyone expected Sweden to Spiral out of control but they didn't. Neil Fergusons models predicted an order of magnitude more deaths there (https://www.aier.org/article/imperial-college-model-applied-...) .

"Sweden had more deaths than Norway and Finland" yes they screwed up sending people to care homes when it first hit - over half of their deaths occurred there. like most of the countries that got hit early. Plus a lot of dark skinned immigrants (vitamin D levels have been shown to be a big factor). Those alone account for a lot of the difference. There is little reason to believe that lockdown had a very positive effect.

Re:Covid vaccine: First ‘milestone’ vaccine offers 90% prote... by acdha on Tuesday November 10, 2020 @08:24AM (#25045636)
Neil Ferguson is a popular target by people misrepresenting his research. There’s a reason why you’re citing a self-published essay by a guy with no relevant experience who gets a paycheck from the Kochs for general right-wing activism rather than peer-reviewed research by someone with public health or medical expertise.